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[虚拟币交流]
Fed暗示2024降息三次！比特币冲破4.3万美元（14日转）
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2 Z- M$ h% [4 h1 h" C- [* i美国联准会(Fed)在9、11月连续两次暂停升息后，于今(14)日凌晨3点释出的FOMC声明7 X) Q: ^& a' a5 X. m
中，三度维持联邦基准利率在5.25%~5.50%区间不变，一如市场此前预期。
% ^) C/ F4 i# Z且令投资者兴奋的事，主席鲍威尔(Powell)透露降息也已进入Fed视野。
( d/ z# [7 j$ @" ]# U官员预计：2024将降息3次
- A1 N' U- X' k, Q虽然Fed在FOMC声明中仍强调实现2%的通货膨胀率是其最终目标，但最新的经济数据表明，经济增长较第三季+ o/ k' S* n4 B. [# Q& q2 y# D% N$ D
度有所放缓，就业依然保持强劲、失业率也维持在较低水平。因此，联准会官员在决定维持利率不变的同时，也
" s* H) _( `! e( o, D已经开始讨论降息的时机。% {# b+ E2 Q2 D$ u) l
主席鲍威尔表示：这将是我们展望未来的一个主题，Fed官员预计明年将三次降息25个基点，这将推动市场大幅
5 D# B: J- a# p; i- O- b走高。
7 P/ m0 f% q: p: z8 q$ P且根据利率点阵图，联准会官员还预计将在2025年再降息四次，他们相信，将不再需要通过提高利率的方式来缓* u' o) ^# R6 r9 Y" S' d
解CPI压力，因为到今年年底，通膨率将放缓至2.8%，2024年底则将降至2.4%。6 K9 ~ I( ?1 t7 ~* [% g
比特币冲破4.3万
1 y- k6 p6 Y) u6 U2 |; k受到Fed宣布不加息、并透露明年考虑降息的激励下，比特币在今(14)晨六点最高来到43,475美元。
& |6 i' K7 [6 i' ^截稿前略有回落，报42,773美元/近24小时涨幅为3.2%。0 O( B9 W8 u9 Q6 ^
以太坊同样呈现上涨趋势，稍早最高攀上2284美元，截稿前报2,255美元/近24小时涨幅为2.3%。
# N6 B j X8 S( P. ?美股四大指数齐扬1 }; {/ T. M- e
回到美股方面，表现也相当亮眼，四大指数齐涨、道指更是创下历史新高：
, `7 p6 i! D' W9 b5 |2 h道琼工业指数：上涨512.3点(1.4%)，收37090.24点* l& \9 N2 N. E0 J5 V- q4 R
纳斯达克指数：上涨200.57点(1.38%)，收14733.96点
* k$ Y( P- y/ a9 n7 O5 V; F/ m标普500指数：上涨63.39点(1.37%)，收4707.09点
& m1 o. m. A3 d7 ?' J费城半导体指数：上涨60.77点(1.55%)，收3990.95点
# D) \2 T2 c1 N1 }美国10年债殖利率跌破4%
8 y% Z/ E. G" M& q另外美国10年期公债殖利率也呈现较剧烈的下跌，撰稿时跌破4%。' t+ j9 o& _3 l2 s2 _/ B4 K
被誉为「新债券天王」的双线资本(Double Line)创办人Jeffrey Gundlach就预测，美国10年期公债殖利率明年将
. m/ g' X4 V; Q C9 o( J) ?跌到更接近3%水平。
. ?' G' J$ y3 i; e
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