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近两个月加密市场出现了一些变化，比如加密资产和美股纳斯达克出现了分化，美股不断走强而加密市场疲软；经历了一季度生态的炒作，无论是“上海升级”、Layer-2、meme等，热点消退，链上活跃度逐步趋冷。 近期，比特币和以太坊也出现了一些不同，可能代表着未来的市场方向，StarEx跟大家拆解一下。 咱们先来看看比特币的情况 最直观的是比特币的持币地址数量，近期的数据： 持有1000到1万个BTC的地址数自四月份以来增持13.16万个BTC。 持有10个BTC以上的地址数量突破15.6万个，创3年新高。 比特币市占率（Bitcoin Dominance）已达45.84%，创近2年新高。上一次出现这样的水平是在2021年7月，当时达到46.77%。 以上的数据表明交易者和投资者正涌向比特币，而不是市场份额较小的山寨币，尤其是“高净值”客户，趁着市场回调，资金抄底现象逐步增强。 咱们再来看看以太坊的数据 最直观的就是以太坊的gas走势，它是衡量链上活跃度的核心指标之一，一季度市场涨势较好gas飙升，而近两个月市场走势疲软gas持续回落，已经常规性的低于20Gwei。 以太坊2022年9月份合并升级后，产量减少了90%，但直到2023年1月份，它都是通胀的状态。2月份随着行情大幅反弹、layer-2及meme币等受到炒作，链上活跃度大幅提升，gas费用上涨，进入通缩。到2023年6月20日，已经通缩超过28万个ETH。 与此同时，ETH2.0的质押数量超过1950万个，也就是说合并以来有接近600万个ETH质押进pos网络退出流通。 按照正常的情况，产量大幅减少，销毁和质押导致流通量持续减少，价格应该比较坚挺才对。但从5月份之后，以太坊持续走弱，尤其是近期生态活动趋冷gas大幅降低后，给市场的感觉“有点弱”。 StarEx认为或许在新的热点出现前，市场主力资金以求稳为主，把更多的仓位配置到比特币上。
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比特币潜力无穷，最近上涨的非常凶，市场普遍看好啊！~ |
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