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[lastpost] => 2781672 分析师预测，随着比特币价格接近 94,000 美元，它将进一步下跌。（转） 1763526961 whywhy
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当前离线
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一周热点回顾总结【只关注与交易相关】：
( [4 t+ t1 ^0 o0 z, C% a1、OP上线，以太坊L2网络Optimism锁仓量超10亿美元，排在Arbitrum后面【关注Arbitrum也有可能获得空投】； 5 \7 ?, w1 y$ E- X+ ~% T
2、USDT场外价格持续缩水，迹象表明有资金在不断的离场；
$ b3 v& [/ l3 i" ?' t& j3、链上数据，以太出货量远大于BTC，行情波动较大； 1 ~( |0 |7 T+ T% W% x e
4、非农公布后美联储6月份加息50个基点的概率为99.3%，预计到12月欧洲央行加息幅度将超过125个基点； 5 a2 B0 H' ^& j$ v' U8 h
5、数字货币与美股联动关系，交易需密切关注美股走势； 6 L8 t, F7 t* N2 C8 k% w3 \7 M" b0 x
6、GMT：STEPN官方费用地址转出3100万美元，持续进行变现之旅； % A2 Y& x' G p6 q/ K& R5 p
7、WAVES链上总锁仓量近17亿美金，增幅度较大 。
0 l9 W7 F% |! c. T# C一周链上数据明示：
6 ?4 T3 ^' x' ?8 q) N) B下图为一周内涨跌幅： % |+ c0 k9 \1 K! |5 p1 B5 p2 T
" c5 E' `+ I4 K. g, U1、WAVES，俄罗斯的波币表现突出。【思考：除了消息面和底层发展逻辑，在K线动向是否可以明示行情走势？】；第二名是：ADA,大家有目共睹，此项目属于优质的投资标的，可作为持续跟踪的交易品周。【思考：投资逻辑里面，看空不做空的投资标的筛选，优质的资本币只考虑做多的单边思维】 ; ~4 j5 k% k# j: _9 T2 L6 ]' V. P7 U
2、表现不错的主流标的：AAVE、AXS、XLM、ICP 【LUNA，只需考虑做空对冲】；
$ x7 h! Q0 f/ c* o/ W下图为以太坊链上净流入交易所数量视图： 7 [9 K, G* L3 S' a" B" m
5月22-6月2日一周时间，ETH净流入交易所296360枚。【思考：大家把币从钱包转到交易所是为什么？是屯币生息吗？】一周的拉高单纯目的就是为了出货。以太的升级转型延期，导致资金撤离外流。
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下图为BTC链上净流入交易所数量视图： # N% c k1 b2 t$ y: y" R# |
下图为BTC链上净流入交易所数量视图：5月22-6月2日一周时间，BTC净流入交易所5447.84枚。其中高位32000--30650区间出货最大。6月3日在29530附近吸筹建仓2732枚BTC。
5 S) R9 R' I) j5 v下图为ETH/BTC交易视图： & R+ o6 k( ~: ?4 k$ ?
自从5月11日开始，天平开始了倾斜，以太的转型拖延导致了以太大饼的强弱区分。【内部学习会和大家甄别这里的奥秘】
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链上数据汇总：盘口来到了月线级别的调整，519的底部调整从超跌——超跌反弹——震仓——二次测试——终极震仓背离走了大约75天时间；本次为月线级别，每个时间级别的走完需要的时间周期可想而知，从链上数据看来，机构尚未开始集中式建仓，说明目前的市场还不是大鳄的心理价位。等待——右侧是最佳的机会。 3 w2 d6 U; F0 C
大盘行情简览：
5 c ?9 g' J# K# `# N7 Q6 }目前大盘处在日线级别的调整周期，每个次级别大概率要形成不同的超跌反弹的走底形态。建议逢高做空、走底做多，现货不急。熊市交易快进快出，不恋战不贪不急不躁。
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, M( [7 ?4 V5 I8 l3 I2 a- J/ j% t周末行情震荡为主【今日不做操盘建议】
9 _3 Q* G2 ?! ]5 |2 W& T9 w7 a祝大家节日安好！周末祥和！ 来源：金色财经 |
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