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[虚拟币交流]
以太坊ETF流入超过比特币ETF的数字 - 这是驱动因素(转)
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与BTC ETF的1.73亿美元相比
) q, Q( L1 ~0 P& u: W/ G" xCME ETH的巨大机会可能是趋势的关键因素
( h4 m/ i: c: |; V+ V) G8 a" [在2月的第一周,美国以太坊ETF指出了一些出色的表现,并且与比特币ETF相比,记录了更多的流入。实际上,ETH ETF的流入量为4.2亿美元,而BTC ETF为1.73亿美元。根据SOSO Value和Farside Investors跟踪的数据。
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根据某些人的说法,这种趋势表明,大型玩家跳上了本周早些时候看到的ETH De-Leverrave活动所提供的折扣窗口。
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相反,由戴维·汉(David Han)和戴维·杜(David Duong)领导的Coinbase分析师澄清说,ETH ETF流动的表现主要是由关注ETH“基础贸易”的机构参与者驱动的。
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' z1 X2 Q& \6 {. L* P' x7 xCME以太坊基础贸易8 R1 G# |4 V* l" ^% q5 h2 ^$ O; z
CME ETH基础贸易是指机构参与者在现货市场上购买ETH的套利游戏,并在期货方面短路,从而使差异(收益率或基础)袋装出来。这对于ETH和BTC都是常见的。 ( i, |# o1 {) x8 ?. b
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但是,分析师汉和杜恩著名的CME ETH基础贸易本周的收益率高于BTC。据他们说,这表明大多数大型球员通过购买现货ETH ETF和缩短CME期货而跳上ETH。他们说, : T$ O6 O( d3 w2 n7 {: w
$ k# u( j: K- L7 ?6 q“值得注意的是,与过去一周的CME BTC基础贸易相比,CME ETH基础贸易继续返回更高的年增长率。基础贸易可能是我们看到最近发现ETH ETF的大量流入的另一个原因。”
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根据所附图表,CME ETH产量飙升至16%,而CME BTC基础基础波动大约为10%。简而言之,与BTC相比,在过去的七个交易日中,ETH贸易提供了更多的风险奖励机会。
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7 ?: b+ Q1 \8 U: P$ y自2024年11月的美国选举以来,支持上述论文的另一个指标是向ETH期货的流入更多的流入。 2025年2月。 - V2 c$ Z4 Q& \/ a
) a7 g5 [; O, f: v另一方面,CME BTC期货在同一时期记录了停滞的流入。韩和杜恩补充说,
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“ CME BTC期货也没有看到可比的开放利息增加,CME开放兴趣大部分保持不变(2024年11月1日,173K BTC,于2025年2月6日至169K BTC)。”
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' r! Z! B7 Y V O话虽如此,分析师还指出,ETH的价格可能仍然静音在短期内,索拉纳(Solana)的负面资金率和强烈的竞争。
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