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[lastpost] => 2764668 比特币大幅回调 此前借加密资产扩张的企业在市场降温后出现抛售潮 1757583153 rainwang
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BTC在过去一周中恢复了适度的恢复,徒步旅行2.81%。
9 A m; O9 }6 R2 H( V/ W比特币的杠杆比率下降,因为投机需求降温,而现货需求上升。( r6 [; O8 Z% |: x z6 ~
在过去的一周中,比特币[BTC]继续向侧面交易。实际上,截至撰写本文时,比特币在上升0.22%后的交易价格为07.052美元。7 s' ?8 R: R& ^
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此外,BTC在每周和每月的图表上分别远足2.81%和2.89%。
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最近的价格泵提出了有关哪些因素驱动它的问题。 Inasmuch,加密分析师Dan提出,BTC的杠杆比率降低,BTC的机构需求和长期积累的较高。
; |7 l' {; K0 a8 w8 `" r+ d: z6 a3 m9 o. b% Z0 G/ M* o6 p2 t3 Q
比特币的杠杆率降低
+ {9 B( Q$ z# e: {: T" O根据CryptoQuant自11月21日以来,比特币的杠杆比率已下降。杠杆比率的下降表明,相对于集中式交易所可用的BTC,开放利息(OI)正在下降。
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从历史上看,较低的杠杆比率降低了清算级联的风险,从而使价格动作更有机而不是衍生品驱动。$ _5 @/ Y V) j3 a; `$ S2 g
5 u+ v) }; \6 q: \7 d1 u同样,相对于价格,OI到市场上限也有所下降。这种下降表明,价格图的收益在很大程度上是由现货需求而不是投机驱动的。# R% Q' R3 M8 b: l
) G0 J7 J/ C: h: j6 f5 r卖出比率也证明了这一趋势,这意味着随着市场的降温,较长的头寸即将结束。
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, [/ }/ _' ], s F8 A值得注意的是,至关重要的是,CEX储备还经历了持续下降。在此期间,BTC在购买比特币ETF的同时转移到了Coinbase Prime。当CEX储备下降时,这意味着可以出售的BTC较少。 Coinbase的流量增加表明,大型参与者,尤其是机构正在积累。
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( O4 i7 C. j+ X3 c当所有这些市场行为融合在一起时,这意味着比特币目前正在看到健康的市场。价格不是由杠杆驱动的,使未来的集会更加可持续。
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1 X) R6 _+ Y7 Q% E( [% Y这对BTC意味着什么) j" S" w5 \: T' B3 v' h. U4 I6 l
随着杠杆率较小,机构积极积累的杠杆率较小,这表明市场正在经历强烈的看涨情绪。( l# m( N/ R" R* |* |$ U* f% D! d2 T
$ n3 }3 V0 r0 O7 x例如,比特币的Coinbase Premium指数在过去一周中一直保持积极。这不仅表明了美国投资者的积极情绪,而且还提高了机构的需求。
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从历史上看,机构的需求更高,在提高价格上涨方面发挥了关键作用。2 R# ^& i9 ~' v# j% k+ H e( k
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此外,比特币的基金市场溢价在过去的一天中飙升了积极。当这变得积极时,这意味着投资者是看好的,渴望的短裤以保持自己的职位。
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这意味着渴望的价格会在短期内上涨。
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6 v4 H2 Z8 b" F最后,市场参与者越来越积累,流出量超过流入。 Exchange Netflow已下降到-2.9k,随着投资者继续积累,反映了更多的交换提款。
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0 `2 Y" @* h3 s4 Q* k7 y7 F: {# n ]读 比特币的[BTC]价格预测 2025–2026
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简而言之,随着零售和大型持有人的积累,比特币正在增强看涨的势头。这种市场行为表明,BTC市场已经冷却,将加密货币定位为进一步的收益。
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* Y/ {' a# V' p3 T: a如果这种情绪成立,BTC将在短期回收$ 98,127,然后尝试突破至$ 10万美元。随后,这里的回调将使比特币降至$ 95,800。
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