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[虚拟币交流]
比特币维持在 10.5 万美元以上：长期投资者会推动 BTC 的下一轮反弹吗？（转）
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长期持有者依然坚定持有，比特币仍处于积累阶段。
0 L# i7 |8 k# L# k现货市场采购活动增强了现有的看涨情绪。
6 X8 y6 J+ T3 z; k3 C& H. x在过去的24小时内，比特币[BTC]价格上涨 1.12%，截至发稿时交易价格超过 105,000 美元。( x' E3 H2 R1 C: h2 `$ W9 [
1 f5 }. j8 O$ Y5 f# l7 k6 Z- I7 h尽管市场普遍动荡，但比特币价格依然保持坚挺，这主要得益于长期持有者的积极参与。AMBCrypto 分析了这一趋势是否可持续。# ]2 m* x9 q, ~, j
5 x; x0 a& p7 i8 w0 x/ @, h$ e长期持有者没有抛售迹象
; T5 l! X9 E: \& E. Q比特币的 RHODL 比率（将长期持有者（6 个月至 2 年）与短期持有者（1 天至 3 个月）进行比较）显示后者仍在持有。
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: l" Y$ \ V+ n值得注意的是，RHODL 比率目前低于 2，低于 2024 年的高点，表明长期抛售压力仍然很小。* N5 Q; `3 { S3 {- P0 ]; E4 A
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截至发稿时，重要市场指标普尔倍数 (Puell Multiple) 显示读数低于 1.40。+ I; y# Y6 e( `$ ?
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这一指标很重要，因为它表明机构和现货市场投资者正在利用积累阶段来购买资产。% B1 l+ }5 V+ C& G5 S- J6 Y$ T) d, G2 r
8 b. T+ l. @* ]7 k从历史上看，当普尔倍数保持在 1.40 水平以下时，它与积累期一致 - 表明比特币具有更大的上涨潜力。
* a* b/ _# O- V" ~, n# t$ z) i. |$ P9 w6 z3 `# q- j1 O! A) ?
AMBCrypto 进一步评估市场参与者是否正在积累或分配资产。( k$ e+ ?: \, }- ^1 A
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现货和传统投资者购买比特币的人数下降% d" b# l; m+ u- y( f3 S
现货市场活动和传统投资者都增加了购买活动。
; X& \3 K# i6 w, u8 D3 o# G; [0 h3 t, ]; v/ u) Y0 P3 Q
过去24小时内，现货市场投资者购买比特币的金额为6055万美元。然而，这是过去五天以来的最低单日购买量。% a5 ~$ Q# H0 D
: V* e7 D/ H# j) Y, J( [' V与此同时，传统投资者支出 3.017 亿美元，创下五天购买量最高的记录之一。6 N. Q. o3 m7 E4 b8 D6 {
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此项活动证实，投资者正试图利用当前 105,000 美元的价格水平，根据 Puell Multiple，这仍被视为折扣。
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问题依然存在：所有细分市场都会遵循积累趋势吗？AMBCrypto 进行了更深入的挖掘，发现了更多见解。/ k) l' l/ M/ e2 l2 Y
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加密基金进入市场：供应紧缩？
0 a! P- m+ P* o截至发稿时，基金市场溢价显示加密投资基金也在购买比特币。; q4 M: q, w, k; i
) [# T& {* L( ~8 k. k$ y当基金市场溢价进入图表上的正值区域时（目前为 0.1），就会发生买入。4 ^, c i8 g% D7 J5 m
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该指标的持续上升表明，比特币可能会保持其上涨趋势，尤其是与其他增持指标一起来看时。这也增加了供应紧缩的可能性。( R3 q3 U* i* r, f# a& ~
$ i2 R+ a O1 y当需求超过供应时，就会出现供应紧缩，从而推高资产价格。
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