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[虚拟币交流]
特朗普打算解锁4000万代币：投资者的下一步是什么？（转）
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特朗普令牌即将到来的4000万代币解锁可能会触发脆弱的市场情绪中的抛售
& O: V: X6 W( O+ R' X! t自推出以来，价格下降了89％，4月18日之前的前景不确定/ T8 i- x5 U1 }* l* G
在Memecoin历史上，倒计时已经开始了最高的代币解锁之一。 4月18日，特朗普官方[特朗普]令牌将发布4000万个令牌流通，目前价值约3.3亿美元。8 R8 R5 ?8 m: ^
+ H/ H6 N8 R2 m. M2 p; U. a总供应量的20％，主要分配给内部人士。对于自推出以来一直在流血的图表，这一事件可能是重置叙事或加深下降的火花。* g) u, n" \6 |; D/ G9 t1 b, w
8 l7 f# u7 \. w. Y6 F内幕分配引起了重量解锁的危险信号
. \7 i2 J. G: Z9 ]- h8 l' a目前只有20％的特朗普总供应量流传，即将到来的4000万个令牌的解锁占该浮点数的20％，这是一方面。) s& W5 f! g' q2 n
% I! Y$ L7 h# E0 S% L8 \' u" w这项耗资3.32亿美元的Unlock计划于4月18日，有投资者处于边缘状态，尤其是因为新发布的令牌分配了内部分配。0 ?0 k b+ x9 Z8 O7 X6 i) M
; b6 z0 f: P& E2 H! a" r* ?, ?从历史上看这样的解锁通常导致销售压力增加。特朗普已经大大低于其顶峰，市场情绪仍然脆弱。
: \# ^; @. F' b8 j. m$ ?* }
( N" ~% T3 k2 d( W每日发行49.3万代币，相当于近410万美元的潜在卖方压力，加剧了人们的关注。如果置信度进一步削弱，则这种解锁可能是更严重衰退的催化剂。
. {' N3 }$ f8 j& d; G3 R
( I' ~/ |& ~6 ~) ^8 N特朗普价格前景
0 \, W- q6 `- _6 X4 J特朗普的代币价格一直处于延长趋势，在短暂反弹后发稿时徘徊在8.43美元左右。
! H) J4 P5 I1 i* W/ b% v( f) k$ l
这标志着自推出以来的89％下降了89％。 RSI在38.90时仍然弱，信号持续看跌势头和缺乏强大的购买压力。* L/ {8 T+ K) C1 }8 u' L; w1 R
. t! d( y* a% v& K, M9 b同时，MACD刚刚进入积极的领域，但信号仍然微弱且令人信服。尽管较小的提升，但价格行动仍在近期低点附近，表明市场犹豫。/ Q( l9 f5 d+ d+ t( H3 s* a) Z/ w
% h+ K( n k0 }' \/ c5 G交易量也显得很薄，表明公牛缺乏信念。如果没有明显的突破或情感转变，任何集会都可能是短暂的，尤其是在大型解锁事件迫在眉睫的情况下。; m. K/ b8 d, p6 K4 Y
* b) i& W$ O" D. U4 p- T+ G4 k过去解锁了一个警示性的故事6 p9 x& p, |- a1 [8 C5 j
与内幕分配相关的代币解锁以导致价格下跌而闻名，尤其是在市场情绪疲软时期。* K8 A3 _% M. w- P
3 i! [/ p2 r# T9 K, E: r( ?从历史上看，大规模的发行版，例如来自Aptos和intinum的发行版，已经充满了供应过多的市场。这种过度供应经常压倒性的要求，导致价格下降。
, M; d9 w0 a K) ~% P. Z7 e! o0 W8 R J4 A9 h
在流动性有限且炒作周期高度挥发性的Memecoin市场中，影响通常更为明显。特朗普遵循这些趋势，使无关后的抛售可能。
5 b+ `0 m1 ]3 h N: a5 B+ V1 j" |4 y( @3 Q, P# F& x
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