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由于挖矿难度降低和挖矿硬件预订量减少,BTC 挖矿哈希率(即网络中的总计算能力)将会减慢。1 x* i. [% R0 f' y
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根据 CryptoQuant 的数据,1 月 27 日,挖矿难度降至 108.1 万亿,这是 2025 年的首次降低,而当前的哈希率约为每秒 832 艾哈希 (EH/s)。7 H' Z( B! F1 l* m+ h2 s9 z c3 H
) a" c$ o; p6 W& O1 U" w/ WTheMinerMag 编制的数据还显示,过去七天,挖矿难度回撤了 2.12%。根据其预购数据,美国公司对专用集成电路 (ASIC) 和其他挖矿硬件的需求在 2024 年第三季度和第四季度有所下降。4 c0 f$ j l# _5 {" R$ m
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难度降低应该会给竞争激烈的行业中的公司带来喘息之机,这些公司在 2024 年和 2025 年初面临着历史最高难度率,同时挖矿的区块补贴也减少了。, t t* a# z. ]( c
: j' Y6 d9 v2 O% c+ D9 u7 U( S矿业公司实现业务多元化但仍举步维艰 N, O" n/ Y+ V, S5 z( b; E
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2024 年,矿业公司将业务多元化,进军人工智能和高性能计算数据中心,以弥补减半后矿业利润的缺口。' r# c9 h3 D( ?! O
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比特币矿工还采用了比特币企业财务策略,将更多的财务储备分配给 BTC,以获取长期价格升值。( ]6 E8 X8 L6 \3 q9 ~% }
7 N/ O4 W$ Z. S2 x尽管多元化、对冲策略和 2024 年 11 月历史性的比特币价格反弹,但矿业股仍难以跟上 BTC 的涨势。 K- k2 y6 {* N7 `/ M$ W* i
" Y; t- v0 O' A& Q# nHashRate Index 的数据显示,25 家上市矿业公司中有 20 家在 2024 年底股价出现年初至今的下跌。) i2 c: l1 o2 D7 N
: f' _( S k; _! JDeepSeek R1 发布后,矿业股再次受到打击,DeepSeek R1 是一种在天朝构建的生成式人工智能模型,其性能与 OpenAI 产品相当,但训练成本仅为其一小部分。) a7 x% S5 Q' s0 \. n
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DeepSeek 颠覆了围绕人工智能开发的传统观念,包括训练和扩展人工智能的成本,据称 DeepSeek 团队使用有限的硬件完成了这项工作。% L( |8 Q$ l/ N
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这款训练成本仅为 600 万美元的天朝 AI 震惊了美国股市,因为一天之内,包括 Nvidia 在内的 AI 公司股东价值就蒸发了超过 1 万亿美元。
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投资者抛售 AI 股票,担心 DeepSeek 对价值数十亿美元的数据中心业务和高端 AI 处理器的收入产生影响。
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