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[lastpost] => 2766944 加密货币市值上涨2% 比特币在美联储降息后逼近118,000美元-转 1758267177 rainwang
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币可能在未来两天内开始反弹至15万美元:分析(转)
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分析师Ali Martinez认为,比特币可能会在未来两天内开始反弹至15万美元,然后出现大幅回调。
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, [1 W. [% j3 K7 r; x比特币与前几周的剧烈波动不同,过去几天一直处于持有模式,没有出现重大价格变动。* \+ g$ d5 A7 _& z
& Y, k, F, m2 c自11月13日比特币达到93500美元的峰值以来,它一直在努力走高。虽然它经历了温和的调整,跌至86682美元,但此后反弹至92600美元。# D, D' N+ [. Z' c: c1 U6 U
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在过去的六天里,比特币在8.9万美元至9.1万美元之间波动,价格没有重大变化。在这个被动市场中,参与者既谨慎又兴奋,预计会出现大幅下跌或大幅上涨。
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! @* \( ^, d( I1 t( O2 ?5 s L- F9 l2 Y z与此同时,像Ali Martinez这样的分析师正在研究历史趋势,以预测比特币的下一个可能走势。
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历史表明,比特币在大幅调整前可能达到13.8万美元/ c# ?9 K! X5 i
在A更新今天早些时候,Martinez指出,在2016/2017牛市期间,比特币价格飙升了156%,超过了首次大幅调整前的历史最高点,首次大幅调整使其价值蒸发了39% ;! ?" C8 I1 H+ q
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同样,他指出,在2020/2021年的周期中,比特币的价值增长了121%,然后经历了32%的回调,抹去了其中的一些涨幅。基于这些观察,他认为比特币在面临首次大幅回调之前可能会达到至少13.8万美元 ;' V2 [, t& k2 x: H/ _$ m9 l
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比特币牛市可能在两天内爆发,目标价为15万美元
/ p5 ^! O. q, v% n与此同时,在后续帖子中,马丁内斯强调比特币正在密切镜像前两个牛市周期的模式。8 ~% m4 E) Z, g7 m" ]# W
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他之前曾指出,在比特币上个季度夺回19700美元的峰值后,它飙升了26%,然后巩固了一周。整合之后,价格大幅上涨至40000美元。
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9 T8 Y; s- u( n) n% `: I值得注意的是,在目前的情况下,比特币已经比3月份的峰值73750美元飙升了26.7%,并且自达到93500美元的新峰值以来,在过去的六天里一直在巩固。7 i0 F5 P) f% }" m
' \, A% H- |# S" b, R因此,马丁内斯相信如果历史可以作为参考的话,市场可能会在未来一两天内再次突破,目标价约为15万美元。
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- Q6 z1 _4 }% k% ?; |' \牛市后调整期间的潜在价格目标
E, @4 W) z2 o8 {( ?$ W1 `# _值得注意的是,15万美元的目标与比特币的历史趋势相一致,在经历约30%的大幅调整之前,比特币在超过以往的历史高点后通常会上涨100%或更多 ;# t' @2 v/ _1 E7 |" L. H
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如果这种情况发生,如果比特币首次声称15万美元目标如果峰值接近13.8万美元,则达到9.6万美元。
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* ?; @! \" F/ i/ R与此同时,Martinez强调了8.3万至8.5万美元和7.2万至7.5万美元的价格区间,作为市场从看涨转为看跌的潜在支撑区域。- V- C+ i) Z p, G4 c% e- b
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