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[虚拟币交流]
如果发生这种情况，比特币可能会下降40,600美元（转）
[复制链接]
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一位分析师根据两个月盘面中形成的模式解释了比特币如何下降40,600美元。
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+ W$ u; U" {" M# r比特币在两个月的盘面上收到了TD Sequential的卖出信号。在X上的一篇新帖子中，分析师Ali Martinez讨论了出现在比特币; J1 X- x5 w) `/ L( a7 J# G# z
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两个月价格上的Tom Demark (TD) 序列信号。TD Sequential是一种技术分析指标，用于检测任何资产价格中可能的反转位置。. b: l2 y2 F3 H
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该指标由两个阶段组成：设置阶段和倒计时阶段。在设置阶段，相同颜色（红色或绿色）的蜡烛将被计数到九根。完成这九根蜡烛后，资产可能已达到反转点。) J( J% D# _# k7 r" o4 F
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如果导致设置完成的蜡烛呈绿色，则 TD Sequential将发出卖出信号。相反，红色蜡烛可以表明底部已经到来。$ m/ K8 h5 g* j" |# e8 X+ S
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设置完成后，指标的第二阶段（倒计时）将开始。倒计时的工作方式与setup类似，主要区别在于蜡烛将数到十三而不是九。在这十三根蜡烛之后，资产可以被认为已6 D; f% Y5 Y3 m9 G7 e
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经达到了另一个潜在的顶部或底部。0 T& d/ e4 i H+ e- v( K. a
( O, ~. G* b, x! Z比特币最近完成了首个TD 顺序阶段。这是分析师Chia的比特币两个月盘面，显示了这个信号：1 R4 @& Y5 I3 \4 m5 g
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7 |7 q6 K7 I0 t如上图所示，两个月图表上的比特币价格最近完成了带有九根阳线的TD 序列，表明加密货币可能已达到某种峰值。
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自该信号出现以来，大饼一直在稳步下降，目前价格低于57,000美元。因此，这种下降模式很可能已经开始生效。9 r! R% M) k- x8 l9 F" f/ w8 C
+ e ^4 G+ Y. g" r8 D( B关于比特币可能下降，马丁内斯指出支撑位为51,000美元，对应于大饼近期峰值的0.236 斐波那契回撤位。8 z4 F0 S% t( E
! [, ~' c3 q1 G) [斐波那契回撤水平基于斐波那契数列，其中Chia链中的每个数字（数字 5 之后）除以下一个数字可在整个链中制作一致的比率。! H+ S0 z/ I* W0 S
0 @0 {6 ?3 B/ P4 k% p% h9 t! [0 m比特币很可能会在下一个关键比率处找到支撑，但分析师指出，如果突破51,000镁的水平，该加密货币可能会下降40,600镁，相当于斐波那契回撤水平 0.382。
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8 H# ?! o5 M2 N4 F9 [- l在这种情况下，如果大饼实际上回到这一水平，其价格将比当前水平下降28%以上。现在，我们将拭目以待该资产的表现如何。 x4 \9 c& ]* E; }: C& H. w
( `) r, o9 X& }! J3 j7 H* B大饼价格：过去一天，比特币继续进一步下降，目前价格已下降56,600美元。. F5 I* z( Q" ? e
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