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[lastpost] => 2767468 比特币变“无聊”？从过山车到马拉松，它正在换一种方式火热 1758599141 AOU1888
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[虚拟币交流]
如果发生这种情况，比特币可能会下降40,600美元（转）
[复制链接]
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一位分析师根据两个月盘面中形成的模式解释了比特币如何下降40,600美元。
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' c7 s @7 L8 A比特币在两个月的盘面上收到了TD Sequential的卖出信号。在X上的一篇新帖子中，分析师Ali Martinez讨论了出现在比特币
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两个月价格上的Tom Demark (TD) 序列信号。TD Sequential是一种技术分析指标，用于检测任何资产价格中可能的反转位置。
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8 z% ]5 k5 `* U; ~0 k9 h 该指标由两个阶段组成：设置阶段和倒计时阶段。在设置阶段，相同颜色（红色或绿色）的蜡烛将被计数到九根。完成这九根蜡烛后，资产可能已达到反转点。
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# r6 m* H( v- |8 t8 I4 N% y如果导致设置完成的蜡烛呈绿色，则 TD Sequential将发出卖出信号。相反，红色蜡烛可以表明底部已经到来。8 K; U$ w ]# p% m. W/ M
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设置完成后，指标的第二阶段（倒计时）将开始。倒计时的工作方式与setup类似，主要区别在于蜡烛将数到十三而不是九。在这十三根蜡烛之后，资产可以被认为已
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经达到了另一个潜在的顶部或底部。
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. k) r$ _% S$ h比特币最近完成了首个TD 顺序阶段。这是分析师Chia的比特币两个月盘面，显示了这个信号：
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( ~3 T* q4 Z2 n如上图所示，两个月图表上的比特币价格最近完成了带有九根阳线的TD 序列，表明加密货币可能已达到某种峰值。
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自该信号出现以来，大饼一直在稳步下降，目前价格低于57,000美元。因此，这种下降模式很可能已经开始生效。
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2 X$ k+ _8 R/ ~' J# D/ H. i关于比特币可能下降，马丁内斯指出支撑位为51,000美元，对应于大饼近期峰值的0.236 斐波那契回撤位。
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+ i* W$ R' o7 V1 W斐波那契回撤水平基于斐波那契数列，其中Chia链中的每个数字（数字 5 之后）除以下一个数字可在整个链中制作一致的比率。% K# J$ J' i9 P$ }! Q
* O6 W$ v6 `# G% k4 O# i9 K比特币很可能会在下一个关键比率处找到支撑，但分析师指出，如果突破51,000镁的水平，该加密货币可能会下降40,600镁，相当于斐波那契回撤水平 0.382。, {, V" U. b0 {2 c' q" T! M0 `0 h
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在这种情况下，如果大饼实际上回到这一水平，其价格将比当前水平下降28%以上。现在，我们将拭目以待该资产的表现如何。& ~! A' B8 T6 c6 r8 k
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大饼价格：过去一天，比特币继续进一步下降，目前价格已下降56,600美元。
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