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[lastpost] => 2769132 比特币下跌削弱看涨情绪，XRP 下跌 6%（转） 1758863959 天策-菱玖
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[虚拟币交流]
如果发生这种情况，比特币可能会下降40,600美元（转）
[复制链接]
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一位分析师根据两个月盘面中形成的模式解释了比特币如何下降40,600美元。
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比特币在两个月的盘面上收到了TD Sequential的卖出信号。在X上的一篇新帖子中，分析师Ali Martinez讨论了出现在比特币
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) ?. m9 J* ^/ T* B$ F两个月价格上的Tom Demark (TD) 序列信号。TD Sequential是一种技术分析指标，用于检测任何资产价格中可能的反转位置。9 q9 [% j" j5 U% _
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该指标由两个阶段组成：设置阶段和倒计时阶段。在设置阶段，相同颜色（红色或绿色）的蜡烛将被计数到九根。完成这九根蜡烛后，资产可能已达到反转点。+ J j8 f- m! t
3 l3 I. Q! v) n% S; s; a9 w如果导致设置完成的蜡烛呈绿色，则 TD Sequential将发出卖出信号。相反，红色蜡烛可以表明底部已经到来。9 ]& g. E/ ^5 g; w; L
0 [8 L4 }+ h/ Z. `设置完成后，指标的第二阶段（倒计时）将开始。倒计时的工作方式与setup类似，主要区别在于蜡烛将数到十三而不是九。在这十三根蜡烛之后，资产可以被认为已
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P# B6 H" B& R7 N经达到了另一个潜在的顶部或底部。 Y% w" w% T5 Q! P$ I
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比特币最近完成了首个TD 顺序阶段。这是分析师Chia的比特币两个月盘面，显示了这个信号：
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: }" U2 l( m" u d' a3 u如上图所示，两个月图表上的比特币价格最近完成了带有九根阳线的TD 序列，表明加密货币可能已达到某种峰值。7 ]: J) Z! U' A6 M9 U/ K
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自该信号出现以来，大饼一直在稳步下降，目前价格低于57,000美元。因此，这种下降模式很可能已经开始生效。
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关于比特币可能下降，马丁内斯指出支撑位为51,000美元，对应于大饼近期峰值的0.236 斐波那契回撤位。* O' m' T& r4 y
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斐波那契回撤水平基于斐波那契数列，其中Chia链中的每个数字（数字 5 之后）除以下一个数字可在整个链中制作一致的比率。/ d% ^" Q0 B' p% H* p
' r% r: ^, h; Z比特币很可能会在下一个关键比率处找到支撑，但分析师指出，如果突破51,000镁的水平，该加密货币可能会下降40,600镁，相当于斐波那契回撤水平 0.382。
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) B/ N* y7 G+ e) S- r' A0 {. j在这种情况下，如果大饼实际上回到这一水平，其价格将比当前水平下降28%以上。现在，我们将拭目以待该资产的表现如何。
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$ w; E w* e# n大饼价格：过去一天，比特币继续进一步下降，目前价格已下降56,600美元。# t; }; M; u! `2 h
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