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[虚拟币交流]
特朗普关税导致股市暴跌——但比特币早已经历过这一切（转）
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尽管宏观 FUD 不断上升，比特币仍保持在关键的 94,000 美元流动性区间之上。1 \& n' f6 X$ R+ }8 c8 W; k
持续的股市疲软可能会冷却企业的支持，对 BTC 的弹性构成关键考验。
3 C# d9 |/ O" O特朗普总统的“让美国再次伟大”的口号对于风险资产来说是一把双刃剑。
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一方面，他大胆、高举旗帜的民族主义给市场带来了清晰的认识，但他的举动的不可预测性也让市场充满猜测。' r8 n6 y& q; }, ~- n; s. C0 }
+ E6 k- ^. j* O8 C1 ~进入 比特币[BTC]，在宏观风险再次爆发之际创下历史新高（ATH）。时机？简直乱糟糟的。
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2 R! I6 H# A* K; d现在，BTC 的弹性再次受到压力测试。
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但据 AMBCrypto 称，经过数月的利率调整、流动性波动和地缘ZZ噪音，经验丰富的投资者可能已经具备了正确应对这一局面的肌肉记忆。1 ]8 E$ ]0 h2 R/ |1 p
7 h: n. L. w" rD这是否意味着当前的“下跌”是一场精心策划的震荡，聪明的投资者会利用它？
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比特币的信念面临另一场压力考验
' w8 u" x5 E; i4 A. N$ }* |. F90天的关税休战并没有持续多久。) B4 f' v! _' }& T1 M) e* h s
8 q# N$ u7 T/ @: G6 w# J6 T1 v; e从 6 月 1 日开始，恢复对欧盟征收 25% 的关税又回来了——这引发了全球范围内的通胀担忧。7 S1 Q, a/ z' L
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自然，比特币做出了反应，大幅下跌 3.79%，收于 106,816 美元。这证实波动性已正式重新进入讨论。退出流动性也紧随其后。- r3 n% P/ _1 _) U
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Glassnode数据显示超过 420k BTC 的成本基础约为 94,000 美元，是本周期中最强劲的链上支撑区之一。
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; w; w3 R+ c! y c0 w按当前价格计算，这群人仍然拥有约 14.5% 的未实现收益，因此决定是持有还是退出并不简单。9 I; u0 f9 c% M
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不过，由于流动性基础如此密集，且价格仅出现小幅下跌，此举可能不那么令人恐慌，而更多是为新一轮逢低买入做准备。
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正如 AMBCrypto 所预测的那样。2 E7 A; ^% e9 s6 f- R* C
0 h) V% q! \+ b2 c0 s' ^经典的投资者困境在宏观经济不确定性再度抬头之际重现
9 M0 Q8 n+ B1 N! T" ^7 n! [受到关税打击的不仅仅是欧盟，就连苹果公司 (AAPL) 也受到了冲击。1 @ ^4 X( p* `9 S4 C( |% b' r4 h
: H7 s3 T4 _0 [2 h7 |. Y- @3 v1 |针对这家市值2.9万亿美元的巨头，美国将于6月1日起对苹果征收25%的新关税。尽管谈判窗口仍然存在，但假设苹果愿意配合特朗普的提议，市场并未等待解决方案。% D* N ]+ t& x/ \8 p
' K, U X! A( k3 o. b# |) _1 v反应如何？迅速而残酷。+ M8 [9 U, I% e) ~2 |) G, M
* u) i9 j0 M) o/ S( {: B短短五个交易日内，标准普尔500指数的市值蒸发了1.5万亿美元。与此同时，苹果延续了连续下跌的势头，过去10天从212美元下跌了近8%。1 }5 s0 v4 p) r. p5 C
K7 ?' e; w' y* W这有什么大不了的？随着股市遭受打击，企业资金可能会转向比特币。( { L( m8 g' D+ {, ]9 [: D
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随着风险资本的流动，BTC 有望上涨，而 Michael Saylor 的声音支持只会火上浇油。& S2 S8 G6 N+ U3 ~
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