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本帖为抢楼帖，欢迎抢楼!
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几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了，下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
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4 M2 T, r: d3 A3 ?# { R( {有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
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1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50，输赢各半的结果，但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。
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这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50，输赢是对半，但是我们真正玩起来，许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。) V7 b' V2 ]& U- ~" e( x
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为什么？
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1、因为下注的次数太多了（任何人都逃不过5050）。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。! V- A- V- ]2 y. O! e3 c
2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样，也可能是5050。
4 x6 L% ~5 Q( q 假如你只有最后一个码了，而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。
9 W2 a: h, h R$ z/ @* J5 R; x 第一把赢，你有两个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/4/ D' U3 ~4 N& p6 P6 d
第一把输，你没有了。
" ?( e$ W4 K& g! m9 `; P1 J' ] 第二把赢，你有三个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/8。
( g9 J3 O; e: S' d- q6 B 第二把输赢，你还可以继续。。0 i4 g: Z7 j/ y4 B9 k) Z
…………无限下去。
8 e& K( X9 m9 ^6 c4 ?- @: y4 u, [清袋的概念，不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32……
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是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。
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这就是总是输的原因。。6 S q1 a# d0 _' I L
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为什么我还要继续玩下去呢？？, T. R# W# r# s' y; F
) v/ a+ M. `1 J0 B1、我觉得可以打偏差。
5 h q6 `/ C8 d; n/ I2、存送1%，返水1%，加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。9 X0 I/ C; ^6 a9 g4 ]# m! N
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但是，这，，，只是理论，实践考虑的因素更多。。
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人的心态不可控，人的行为不可控，人的习惯不可控。。 |
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大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择，所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择，运气不好的话，就会连续选择错误，也就是连黑了 |
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5050 的说法是不对的，在正常的不作弊的情况下，庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
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菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半，庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了，反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
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