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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，$ e# F# i$ F+ J) {! C
7 q9 l }% L' h: ]比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？
+ K5 l; t& B' L: O, l( n k我们认为至少有以下几个原因：# `8 _8 X: p1 a9 @1 K, S. W+ O
: g+ Z6 i! M7 Q4 Q1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在& u! E, |0 j0 J: h
a" n- F I) a& p) P没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过
9 Z `3 H. }: W% v5 Z" J$ `" ^! `& U
中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全$ M! w6 h. N. M
' G9 w4 x! d3 n @) R% r去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长2 d, j5 N$ r# e/ o' @/ q/ ^8 k3 `
" F5 A, A6 O, N1 {
5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH
1 _% \) J6 ~4 j# t8 l/ m I- O# `1 P4 O
Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和) ]2 d- W5 c6 G4 z+ n
; P4 i$ d+ N3 G2 b3 g6 t9 e- D( Z
ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿* u u8 W% f. \# @: q
4 G# w! W, x8 s美金）。
: z8 h- C7 V9 [
' V& @4 ~# P# h
0 W/ I- E: U) i2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态
& _) f: p& W7 } R& E x) ~8 ], c" Q' g' M3 z6 `. N
比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去
+ Z$ ^' x, n9 n- q. ~3 n! \; n& G+ i% S; _) |) K' ]
构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。
4 c" h: W3 I# `0 }- s) H! K; i7 v: b6 G @' R1 t, @
3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户& Q4 w7 z9 a! v' ^% V
7 e4 f6 ^- H8 e! J6 G( ~尤其大资金的信任和青睐。
v4 P1 Q$ G4 S; O# t, R6 N7 T
4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL% b6 t3 L% `2 m/ @9 @4 y$ t( P
4 @/ s: J# g( w约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如/ a0 x% e2 s+ ]3 d
" T: p4 g1 c7 M) o& }5 a# m" A果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美
$ Z+ s" s; c7 i+ _8 M) Y% m( M9 F$ j/ m/ X) d: S: o, c3 W
金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。$ A" O, V! C3 _- \0 i* ?
% m1 s: W4 H* H2 E2 x' R
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