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[lastpost] => 2769557 美联储新掌门将出炉：换人就能把比特币送上20万吗？ 1759470070 德罗星
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[虚拟币交流]
Peter Schiff：比特币现货ETF获准可能对币价产生灾难性影响（4日转）
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1 } w4 Z5 B' \9 B8 l6 D1 q尽管市场对美国当局可能批准第一档比特币现货ETF充满期待，知名比特币怀疑论者、
2 P+ a+ h3 }# u+ v' j$ V( x提倡拥抱黄金的Peter Schiff警告，比特币狂热人士要小心不要抱持过多期望。7 E5 U% ~. h4 L" d+ x, P
Peter Schiff在社群平台X上贴文表示，比特币现货ETF获准可能对比特币价格产生灾难性影响。他说，关于美国上" l8 ~( \2 L3 R2 k) e
市推出比特币现货ETF的展望，已经支撑了比特币的价格和投机性需求长达数年。这代表，如果预料中的机构投资
( X w+ O o' V需求没有来临，就算ETF获得核准上市，比特币价格也会暴跌，「当心冲击！」" w! U# K& Q) W8 L$ T
Peter Schiff长期来一直对比特币持怀疑态度，而且多年来持续预测比特币会灭亡，然而比特币每轮周期的表现都
& `7 C8 a5 I7 d证明他是错的。他的推文收到比特币支持者的大量留言，这些支持人士提醒他，正如黄金ETF并没有减损实体黄金
8 J" k7 O+ k3 |: k2 n的需求一样，如果出现比特币现货ETF，只会为比特币市场增添动能。
: I1 V* c0 \5 A3 ?% \然而，搜集许多数据的顾问业者Matrixport也提醒说，比特币支持人士可能必须再等更久的时间，才能见到首档
. ^# e9 z0 g9 g4 A: }+ x% U比特币现货ETF在美国上市。该公司预测，美国证管会(SEC)可能会在1月10日的最终期限否决所有比特币现货ETF5 y, d/ H, }( B/ ~2 ^) H* J
的申请。, `4 G: L/ f# j {$ ~5 ~0 p
Matrixport的最新预测和许多ETF分析师先前的预测截然相反，一些分析师预期这些申请案有90%的机率会在1月 G* `* P: I, x* |2 ]; B0 ]
10日的最终期限前闯关成功。不过，Matrixport表示，尽管ETF申请者频繁与SEC的工作人员开会，但「所有申请
1 n3 C$ n, i/ R9 L" n- Z) ^案都没有达到能获得SEC核准前必须达到的关键要求。」Matrixport表示，预期在2024年的第2季前，都不会见
+ |9 J+ e! n# }% i: Y到有任何一档比特币现货ETF获准上市。
* c. ^6 }5 b l4 s3 H" q该公司的分析指出，目前在SEC的五人投票委员小组中，包括SEC主席Gary Gensler在内的民主党人占了多数地
2 j* a+ [6 b: K+ l J# \位，因此不太可能投票通过核准比特币现货ETF。2 P3 R+ Q8 a( }% I" ~
许多报告援引匿名消息人士预测，第一档比特币现货ETF会在1月2日前获得核准，然而这并没有发生。随着SEC在
( E; F$ I3 a6 i9 U1月10日做出决定的最后期限逼近，市场的乐观情绪正转变为怀疑，证据包括加密货币挖矿公司的股价走软，而且$ G1 B5 Z' K. ]1 D1 u. Z6 b
几档与比特币相关的美国股票卖压涌现。此外，比特币在1月3日盘中一度大跌9%。
% Y" G# H9 @0 E5 q. C- g0 j+ ~彭博社ETF分析师Eric Balchunas先前一直看好比特币现货ETF有99%的机率会在2024年第1季获准上市，现在他
: y5 t& X. ^! t' T8 {, R! q相信，SEC仍有「些许」机会可能拒绝比特币现货ETF的申请案。
+ O, n) V5 K' S; \5 ^7 T' N2 E, V3 v/ _# A
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产生灾难性影响的是要看啊( N! `: j4 T% f; D- I+ s( v; ?
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