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[lastpost] => 2769523 灰度警告市场异常变化，山寨币表现优于比特币 (转） 1759411239 舞出精彩
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[虚拟币交流]
2024比特币市场大揭秘！鲸鱼动向、投资机会一网打尽！（转）
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未来一周值得关注的关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。2 c H* M! ?% k+ p; Q: w& j3 }! C
+ I6 Q- ?' M F v& O& e过去一个月比特币的区间形成仍在发挥作用。
. \- v2 n0 K' f) \" O; J: f2 Y1 E链上指标显示投资者还不必担心下跌趋势。1月3日，比特币（BTC）出现大幅波动，当
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2 i$ [8 ]4 r" V# c9 O) H天价格下跌6.3%。尽管面临抛售压力，但未实现净损益（NUPL）等链上指标表明市场
/ ?9 s9 H5 C) f$ G+ W ^2 M& B- X2 S& j7 P. D L5 R
处于健康的看涨状态。9 L6 b' M; M' u. E7 A" t. z
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AMBCrypto最近报道称Coinbase溢价正在上升。自9月份以来一直呈正值，但在12月中旬1 [5 P$ J4 n) X) t
/ ?, X0 w" l% ^$ Z
短暂跌至负值区域。这是Coinbase购买压力稳定的迹象，引发了机构投资者在比特币ETF
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9 R, ?$ b: [. R( }' s- W* y, n获批之前持续买入活动的猜测。# x; T$ f- R* z7 j+ U! r
# u0 j: B* ~7 D3 K; N* }" b8 sAMBCrypto查看了其他指标来了解BTC的状况，评估公牛的可用弹药。自10月份以来，
& p$ S5 y! ?' e( l, @$ ~- W6 q* R E; i
Coinbase溢价差距在大部分时间里都是正值。12月中旬跌入负值区域。它的推论已经被提5 G! \" W2 L9 t/ P: L: j+ h0 R6 I
/ f( l. i* o- e* r及，但它可以与其他指标相结合以提供更敏锐的洞察力。. m. K& ]6 r6 J0 E) a3 t+ W
0 n U4 L% H; E
其中一项指标是稳定币供应比率，即BTC的市值除以所有稳定币的总市值。该指标的值较
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低表示购买力较高。该比率自10月初以来一直在飙升，表明购买力一直在下降。BTC的强
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, ?2 S. y y, A; O劲需求导致价格从10月的2.6万美元上涨到12月的4.4万美元。
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5 Q( V4 R, A( p3 H5 A# H然而，该指标在过去一个月似乎达到了上限，表明市场参与者可能正在观望和等待。ETF4 J, C" f3 E8 f3 x1 b5 A. T
$ \& W# c6 a9 t# i. t- d申请、对其批准的争论以及对BTC价格的影响可能导致这种犹豫不决。
( s- R- e8 A% ]5 [) }% d4 `8 T9 ?* [: R+ P9 }9 }1 r; K4 O* m& b
虽然比特币NUPL创2021年12月以来新高，但投资者不必担心。2023年12月5日，比特币8 v3 {9 G8 R( W# w$ R
/ a/ ~( e+ W9 I D% O: h$ nNUPL攀升至0.5以上，这并不意味着逆转即将到来。相反，市场既不处于欣喜状态，也不
8 D! K& w0 s9 z: P8 L8 o u s; }4 t! N% g3 c; {: i
绝望状态。NUPL在过去的一个月里已经形成了一个平台期，这也与比特币最近几个月无法
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! e; v1 g" |# Q继续其上涨趋势有关。比特币流入交易所的增加是部分原因。
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因此，比特币持有者必须做好跌至区间低点甚至可能更低的准备。未来一周值得关注的
( N+ C, T& U5 J3 J% c4 q- ?
2 f% t/ \# v6 y6 f" Q/ g关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。' j2 m1 k1 Y# [+ h% i& @( F$ `
/ l, a$ z1 m/ v I0 `1 ~. c9 M, ^4 W8 N0 X( X
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