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[lastpost] => 2768668 Kiln 事件后 Solo Staker 的深度解析（转） 1758716952 mattf
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XRP在盘整阶段交易后面临崩溃的风险，分析师预测可能跌至0.4319美元。各种市场指标的支持证据加强了对即将下跌的预测。, ^/ x( w! j7 t n1 m) c
在日线图上，Ripple[XRP]的表现一直不佳，这一趋势似乎将继续下去。它已经经历了1.71%的下降，预计还会进一步下降。7 i& W$ X2 N @4 @
( ^" r+ ?0 c5 \4 V5 H7 Z4 M" P ~XRP合并可能导致崩溃
! G/ g' f4 Q$ |( h% H9 J根据AMBCrypto的图表分析，XRP在一年多的时间里一直在规定的每日范围内进行整合，这一运动始于8月。
5 T* T) }4 g0 L# ?$ ^8 _3 n6 d( S1 z; ~7 c, _! m& J9 P6 s( ^
巩固阶段通常代表积累期，价格在矩形的上下限之间波动，通常为重大崩溃或突破奠定基础。
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截至本文撰写之时，XRP最近已从上限或阻力线反弹，并可能跌至通道底部，购买压力可能会推动其价格上涨，继续其振荡模式。& N! N( J" V- c8 a) D
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然而，AMBCrypto报告称，抛售压力已经加剧，这表明下限或支撑线可能无法维持，这将导致资产价值进一步下跌。
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供应地销售压力增加6 L- @6 S- a. Z' K9 r; h5 D% r- t+ y
AMBCrypto使用Cryptoquant的数据进行的分析表明，XRP的交易所供应份额在过去24小时内显著增加，这表明其价格可能大幅下跌。 V; E/ ]) {0 e. M
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这一增长表明代币在交易所的可用性更高，由于潜在卖家的涌入，其价格面临下行压力。2 D! ?' C# ^: g3 u# Y4 H. D1 g: y5 Q
/ P' d U5 |% t0 f' x已经观察到供应量大幅增加，这通常是由于鲸鱼将大量XRP转移到交易所出售
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最近，Lookonchain记录了一笔交易，一头鲸鱼在最近几个小时内移动了9500万XRP，相当于超过4900万美元，记录了更多的交易。) X! p- O# H8 p, W6 N
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此外，据Cryptoquant称，自本月初以来，XRP的交易所流入量稳步上升，进一步增加了交易所的总供应量。
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零售交易员的活动加剧了XRP的看跌走势 Z" Q$ t2 I( X' \3 Y a
追踪未结算交易的Coinglass对未平仓合约（OI）的详细分析显示，未平仓合约大幅下降7.02%，至5.6397亿美元，这表明散户越来越活跃，可能会对XRP价格的下跌产生影响。4 d) w' m, _; b
7 P1 R7 b) f- O+ ?这种看跌前景得到了抛物线SAR（止损和反转）指标的进一步支持。
5 j1 k: @7 f0 `! S- Q3 t; j5 g; t
/ Q1 Y) O2 c. S: l/ Q抛物线SAR有助于识别潜在的价格反转和动量，由图表上价格条上方或下方的点标记。这些点的位置变化表明趋势发生了转变。8 D ?$ `2 h0 Z# p$ @
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