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[lastpost] => 2761540 PYTH因美联储数据大爆发 下一个SPX6900 —T6900距离上线仅剩4天！-转 1756821323 爱美的女人
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当前离线
经验:
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总在线: 7224 小时
本月在线: 15 分钟
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STH已记录了70亿美元已实现的损失，这是本周期中最多的
- m1 Q6 D) `" t比特币价格仍在关键的移动平均值下，短期持有人行为对近期趋势方向至关重要
+ ~) o* w% ^2 Y7 {: ~' q) n9 W+ v2 ]短期比特币[BTC]持有人会感觉到热量是未实现的损失安装，这标志着这个市场周期中的关键拐点。但是，尽管有所有压力，历史表明这可能是更广泛的牛趋势中的自然冷却阶段。- T9 _! A, t! z8 j
- q6 T. j8 v- L6 y比特币损失爬升，但保持在历史范围内
: P1 I; T) D; E* D实际上，来自玻璃节点显示短期持有人[STH]的相对未实现的损失可能接近+2标准偏差水平 - 这是与峰值遇险有关的阈值。- c2 A: {- t& x5 k2 [6 E
. I8 j* t0 e, x& K* w7 Y然而，它们仍然保持在牛市中通常看到的上限范围内，尚未违反投降领域。# ~" U# U5 w m0 _3 e/ f' o7 M
+ n3 L3 w E9 q' K- P# x8 s
STH痛苦的新闻时间水平似乎也是值得注意的，在过去的30天中，已实现的损失超过70亿美元。 , X8 s* S! J' `3 D: `+ Y7 ]
5 ?+ I0 K0 `* ` K' F尽管这一数字是当前周期中最高的损失事件，但在2021年5月和2022年6月的重大逐渐减值期间，它显着低于惊人的198亿美元和207亿美元的损失。
* |8 I# P0 B9 L7 R8 c/ k: T
5 v% O# P, ?) F$ A u这意味着，尽管损失一直在增加，但许多投资者仍在极端投降之前退出。换句话说，短期持有人可能会陷入适度的损失，而不是忍受更深层的缩减，这可能是更广泛的市场实力的可能迹象。8 Q ~/ [9 |$ p% n
2 u8 [: y3 k7 X5 a0 K3 p
比特币价格结构和风险区域
5 S% Z" c; x2 s0 C2 F发稿时，比特币的交易价格为84,322美元，加密货币徘徊在其50天的搬家平均水平低于85,141美元以下，远低于200天移动平均线，为95,174美元。
( J3 T; H! D" \; H5 C# m W; {* Z6 o
这些水平形成关键阻力区，并可能继续抑制向上的动量。尤其是如果短期持有人的情绪仍然弱。; @; o X. i% K# x
0 Q* s1 d5 w3 P" I8 m/ |
布林乐队还强调了一个紧缩范围，暗示可能突破了。* a$ A, }4 m S" y' @9 w" @
* v; n% l# F4 F/ A1 L但是，由于短期持有人在压力下，除非新需求进入市场，否则偏见可能会倾斜看跌。1 T! X/ A4 _% I8 T8 g2 |; T
# P. Z# U1 I! ~; l {, p$ X这对比特币趋势意味着什么- L* J( Y% p# u" b: J4 C; I9 y
未实现的损失和已实现的损失的结合表明风险升高，特别是对于那些持有的人比特币在最近的高点获得。但是，这些损失仍然存在于历史牛市模式之内，这表明尚未确认宏逆转。
. ]5 f/ ?1 s% O2 {2 G/ L3 p- o7 Z
- y: t1 i& a9 d' H, V' ~如果BTC可以收回85,000美元的级别并将其倒入支持，则可以在STH中更新信心。相反，如果不持有83,000美元，可能会导致更多销售，同时测试较低的支撑量接近80,000美元。, f! b6 a, u6 Y! |
# G5 @, q3 C5 D5 L总体而言，短期疼痛是显而易见的，但尚不极端。只要比特币的心理水平高于关键的心理水平和宏流程保持完整，这种校正就可以作为重置而不是逆转。1 M4 b% a9 O$ p5 i6 ~; K
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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