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[lastpost] => 2786545 比特币的十字路口：ETF资金流出、巨鲸转移以及迈向10万美元之路（转） 1764780981 jackcool1011
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[虚拟币交流]
特朗普打算解锁4000万代币：投资者的下一步是什么？（转）
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特朗普令牌即将到来的4000万代币解锁可能会触发脆弱的市场情绪中的抛售
4 _+ e9 v- u: m) s; a自推出以来，价格下降了89％，4月18日之前的前景不确定
. l& P& q9 }4 O5 b- Y" Z在Memecoin历史上，倒计时已经开始了最高的代币解锁之一。 4月18日，特朗普官方[特朗普]令牌将发布4000万个令牌流通，目前价值约3.3亿美元。 p* V- @6 h5 U- h
4 a: e& C' m( Y' a总供应量的20％，主要分配给内部人士。对于自推出以来一直在流血的图表，这一事件可能是重置叙事或加深下降的火花。
4 U8 n( D3 F% D1 i0 q& \& {* ~" ~* u1 A3 d; n2 `/ _9 b3 \
内幕分配引起了重量解锁的危险信号8 Q: z* s3 F8 D
目前只有20％的特朗普总供应量流传，即将到来的4000万个令牌的解锁占该浮点数的20％，这是一方面。
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这项耗资3.32亿美元的Unlock计划于4月18日，有投资者处于边缘状态，尤其是因为新发布的令牌分配了内部分配。
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从历史上看这样的解锁通常导致销售压力增加。特朗普已经大大低于其顶峰，市场情绪仍然脆弱。
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, W: \1 T5 T. N1 Z2 b每日发行49.3万代币，相当于近410万美元的潜在卖方压力，加剧了人们的关注。如果置信度进一步削弱，则这种解锁可能是更严重衰退的催化剂。
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0 a& L8 u3 d3 y$ H3 c特朗普价格前景
6 \* Z$ p+ M5 J6 I2 w' A3 t' J特朗普的代币价格一直处于延长趋势，在短暂反弹后发稿时徘徊在8.43美元左右。/ B U4 S! m% C6 I A; W
' t1 h& T5 O# C: V5 @' u% U这标志着自推出以来的89％下降了89％。 RSI在38.90时仍然弱，信号持续看跌势头和缺乏强大的购买压力。
. m9 q4 c3 Y% V% Y' @ J$ c2 \6 h+ E8 X7 Z) M
同时，MACD刚刚进入积极的领域，但信号仍然微弱且令人信服。尽管较小的提升，但价格行动仍在近期低点附近，表明市场犹豫。# ?: V2 O3 D& m; {! Z3 m& z' p z
% _9 K9 y% v7 D: L交易量也显得很薄，表明公牛缺乏信念。如果没有明显的突破或情感转变，任何集会都可能是短暂的，尤其是在大型解锁事件迫在眉睫的情况下。9 x" D6 V- Y/ p. V: v
+ D# ^# o, j% R9 K( ]
过去解锁了一个警示性的故事- |2 G* q, ^7 j- q( \2 q& b
与内幕分配相关的代币解锁以导致价格下跌而闻名，尤其是在市场情绪疲软时期。. \" j# B' Y) P- U( B
+ f0 y, Y% D" ]3 Y1 Y6 N, s: v
从历史上看，大规模的发行版，例如来自Aptos和intinum的发行版，已经充满了供应过多的市场。这种过度供应经常压倒性的要求，导致价格下降。
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9 O1 p" j# g P7 f% J在流动性有限且炒作周期高度挥发性的Memecoin市场中，影响通常更为明显。特朗普遵循这些趋势，使无关后的抛售可能。
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