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[虚拟币交流]
比特币目标价位 23 万美元，Solana 或将飙升至 4,390 美元！（转）
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如果价格能够突破 200 美元，杯柄形态预示 Solana 将上涨 20 倍
( e" U' H3 d9 Y! Y; J4 u+ s/ iToken 近几个月来凸显了看跌势头，可能尚未准备好走高
5 m, K y! Q3 b7 G! p1 J, d比特币[BTC]在撰写本文时，索拉纳[SOL]在较高时间范围的价格图表上。. K. x2 z; b( t+ B# L
( E2 U* w3 B: O H2 Y) \+ H3 X在一个在 X 上发帖，技术分析师商人缓步动物观察到比特币和 Solana 在月线图上都形成了杯柄形态。事实上，前者几个月前就已经突破了，而 Solana 一直在耐心等待时机。3 T2 k( T0 v8 k! \# R" y* {
o K0 r. I2 e% i2 J: L利用杯柄形态的深度，突破目标可以是预测分析师指出，比特币一旦突破，可能达到 23 万美元，而 Solana 一旦突破，目标价位将达到 4,390 美元。它何时才能实现这一目标？Solana 现货 ETF 于 7 月 2 日上线。该 ETF 由 REX-Osprey 提供，其目标是1140万美元7 月 3 日流入。$ H2 m+ V: z7 q* ~0 O1 X
, Q$ d" `0 X6 p这可能会刺激 Solana 突破 200 美元大关，也就是杯柄形态突破的开始。3 b7 |' u2 _) {
4 e7 I* S6 I4 ^9 oSolana 的炒作季节尚未到来！7 J* S* x0 [% H- g; @5 n
通过检查活跃地址数量，AMBCrypto 发现，从 2024 年 10 月开始，链上活动出现了大幅飙升，并持续到 12 月。这与 11 月从 146 美元大幅上涨至 264 美元的情况相吻合。在此期间，Solana 模因币的表现也非常出色。" X z5 P4 R4 q' D
* w! ]/ }% C6 q. N虽然它就像一个赢家寥寥的赌场，但它仍然是一个人潮涌动的赌场。或者说，它就像一场淘金热，交易员们争相寻找并利用最新的趋势获利。无论如何，现在的活跃地址数量已经比六个月前的水平有所下降。
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2024 年 3 月和 4 月，持有超过 10,000 SOL 的大额持有者数量迅速增加，当时的价格为 140 美元。7 \" C1 q7 d* T# N
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在 2025 年的大部分时间里，这一数字一直稳定在 5.1k 左右。大股东数量的再次[激增]可能是大型投资者信心的表现。8 W3 @; H0 a: a, `: r; P
+ m- c& \; s0 a0 P9 h
周线图反映出看跌结构。2024年12月创下的175美元的较高低点在2月份被突破，并在5月份的反弹中再次被测试为阻力位。RSI指标也反映出这种趋势，自2月份以来一直保持在50的中性水平以下。这表明，目前的势头主要为看跌。 C' R/ B% g# S# k/ }
9 }- c6 O* R: e+ m- R' t过去两个月，相对强弱指数 (RSI) 徘徊在 50 左右，表明看跌势头已减弱。然而，多头力量不足以推高价格。这反映在自 5 月以来每周交易量的下降上——这是市场进入回调阶段的另一个迹象。
$ b5 m" q2 a6 }% h$ l) z5 U1 e4 c+ Q2 ~0 ~, o
如果 SOL 能够回升至 190 美元以上，那么每周结构将再次转向看涨。
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