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[虚拟币交流]
联准会加息0.25、利率创22年新高！比特币冲高29700（转载）
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在今(27)日凌晨举办的美国联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议上，联准会一如市场预测宣
+ r4 Q# B9 e0 N/ W布升息一码，将基准利率调高至5.25%-5.50%，创下自2001年以来最高水平。
( `: K( P* z, u3 ?3 L1 M鲍威尔：9月不排除连续升息$ B" b4 N+ l! Q g
联准会声明同样保持先前立场，在实现2%的通胀目标之后，Fed才会考虑采取宽松的货币政策，并依旧将监测通- y+ Z& \6 j3 K: u; W8 g$ N
胀的滞后性：在确定额外政策紧缩程度以及当通胀率恢复到2%时，联准会才将考虑政策带来积累的紧缩、对经济
/ I6 A6 j7 h6 m% C( N活动造成的影响，并持续勘测通胀的滞后性。- H7 f' o* }6 i
联准会主席鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)也表示当前不排除于9月FOMC会议上连续升息的可能：如果有数据支持，我6 w L2 W6 t; f5 S0 h5 w
们有可能在9月的会议上继续提高利率…在有信心通膨可持续回落至2%目标之前，我们打算维持限制性立场。
1 ~, ~' j7 }' z' J同时鲍威尔重申，联准会不太可能在今年降息，并指出部分FOMC成员已将明年降息纳入经济预测。根据 ^7 M' [4 A5 o/ r+ x: p# `
CMEGroup的FedWatch工具显示，市场当前认为联准会在9月继续加息的概率为22%，而保持当前利率水准的概
$ A9 y1 M0 Y) a# [0 A0 \率为78% a! [ N( g/ E, ~9 y O% l3 X
相信美国经济会软着陆
# `+ I# W/ q9 a) }1 |9 G6 n至于短期的经济发展，当时6月的FOMC会议声明称经济活动持续以「适当的」(modest)的步伐扩张，本次声明
0 [ [; [( y' `' M- }则称：经济活动一直以「温和的」(moderate)步伐扩张。
$ G( Q- w0 b8 G; E鲍威尔仍相信，联准会可以带领美国经济软着陆，在维持限制性政策、通膨率下降的同时，避免引起严重的经济7 h* R- |. H5 G* D
衰退。 E* Y( y+ |& K- q* w
美股市场微跌，比特币突破$29,6508 m1 M. `( _# g5 F/ T
由于升息一码符合市场此前的预期，因此美股市场并未发生过大的波动，四大指数市场表现如下：9 r; X$ v' D z$ V. w- ~
道琼工业指数上涨0.23%(82.05点)、收35,520.12点
+ n+ _) x/ q) Y$ M纳斯达克指数下跌0.12%(17.27点)、收14,127.28点, w$ j) q: T5 B. n/ f- a+ Y' | Y+ h
标准普尔500指数下跌0.02%(0.71点)、收4,566.75点
" N. Q2 c. n" J. {/ F费城半导体指数下跌1.49%(55.89点)、收3,699.37点。: d' k! L6 C) t3 E
值得注意的是，比特币在联准会公布升息消息后再震荡中开启一波小幅上涨，一度逼近$29,700。截稿前，比特币& H$ M6 Y+ l3 X$ U( v5 F
报价$29,342，近24小时涨幅0.5%。8 C- Q; ?+ v7 ?2 J/ X/ M
3 u. h, I$ @) r* _) ]/ I |
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