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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，
9 H" W* Y9 @' h2 C3 [6 e4 _
( V; j, j9 D! }6 e3 T比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？
) D$ A7 m1 c5 b$ G2 V8 w我们认为至少有以下几个原因：$ h0 [$ r2 d( E5 r- m# ]
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1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在
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没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过. b3 D4 H9 z$ Z% ^; ], n: W7 d
- X6 T$ ?' G+ @, }7 z7 l中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全' \1 I4 c% w B1 c q8 W
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去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长
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5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH
/ }* u1 M1 A/ B& Q$ V( N
) g }4 H; v- {# E# DLayer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和1 p0 b; o* ]/ m8 ^" C% u
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ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿
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美金）。
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2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态
1 g x: y. u" [. N2 j( `6 Y4 R0 A$ ?0 A" V5 a- o
比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去& V, h% W4 W4 ]7 N
3 L/ S. I+ Q+ r7 _. d构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。
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$ m; N/ Y. ^9 w3 T7 S) M0 t3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户7 o6 U, T2 Q2 F$ v/ w4 K& O$ E
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尤其大资金的信任和青睐。
$ x9 n. q5 B% z' E- Y, C& h$ K- o0 `5 K5 D+ z4 o8 S* Q9 s9 r
4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL9 W( q: {) l" `. H- |+ l; I; N/ O) ~
) b1 `; x3 z! T: f, a6 y- O约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如/ ~9 \8 K9 h8 g3 J7 ?$ Q' x8 G: {
% A1 s1 V- L1 Y
果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美) M& i3 x: v) f+ e, L3 L% T M3 r
9 c8 _- L( D# k W% U% s; ~金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
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' ?( G0 e$ K5 \. i: M& p2 K0 j7 k! X% v' M$ p& @& w# a- n0 ^+ D
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