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[lastpost] => 2771221 比特币ETF引发稀缺性炒作,重现黄金在上世纪70年代的上涨(转) 1759578446 人生如赌
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摩根士丹利执行董事长詹姆斯.戈尔曼(James Gorman)表示,购买比特
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币是一种纯粹的投机行为,去年春天的银行倒闭没什么大不了的,而且美国0 g* Q& a: o' T# r7 x0 Z2 Y
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今年可能不会出现经济衰退。& L! r, C6 [2 i c# C4 c
在执掌摩根士丹利14年后,戈尔曼1月1日刚刚卸任CEO。他在本周的一
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3 l/ m0 m K7 f- F; a) C次采访中表示:“我从来没有真正理解比特币作为一种价值存储工具的价值。”/ J. x" f/ K8 l9 e
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戈尔曼接着说道:“我曾经开玩笑说,我希望我以60美元的价格购买它,3 l8 r+ L. C2 m1 Y( z- t# w& f% h
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' M* ?& F% Z2 U2 C我很高兴我没有以6万美元的价格购买它。对于富人来说,它在他们的金融
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2 c1 J$ B/ f' p+ H! O结构中应该扮演一个非常小的角色,因为它是如此投机,如此不稳定,而且" d5 R- J7 q" f6 j$ j$ h0 Y9 T8 u+ j
0 {2 F" F1 b4 z它再次经历了巨大的监管变革和行业颠覆——我们最近看到了一些典型的失败。”
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从2020年3月到2021年11月,比特币的价格飙升了大约12倍,从大约5000美
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元涨到6万多美元。到2022年底,这种最受欢迎的加密货币一度跌至1.7万美元以
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下,但2023年底反弹至4万美元以上。
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0 L8 I! W% @& u 近年来,加密货币领域一直受到监管打击和多起丑闻的困扰,其中包括FTX和
9 x2 L4 v& [5 k2 D
6 P9 |. I' S1 \0 |山姆.班克曼-弗里德(Sam Bankman-Fried)的戏剧性垮台。 k2 q4 a3 V& Q/ y
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戈尔曼说:“听着,比特币不会消失,它不是一种时尚。但我不认为这是一项' N! j# K M- d1 N
9 ^7 ?& y- L1 U核心投资。我认为这是一种投机性资产,在这方面人们有很多选择。”
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此外,这位华尔街资深人士将硅谷银行、Signature Bank和Silvergate Capital去
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* Y( ? N' c- u5 @年3月的倒闭归咎于糟糕的管理决策,并认为当时有关全行业灾难的担忧被夸大了。
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! f: ?& } j* w+ T 他说:“人们一直告诉我,我们正面临银行业危机——不,我们没有,我们面临; {0 b7 z6 m0 `. }% H
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的是三家银行之间的危机。“这不是市场的危机。”
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戈尔曼对美国经济的前景也持乐观态度,理由是通胀迅速下降,产出有弹性增
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长,失业率处于历史低位。
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他说:“我们不太可能出现衰退,也不太可能出现硬着陆。”他还补充说,他预计
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* Q: h1 Y1 I a3 }; R+ d, F$ r美联储将在今年下半年降息几次,以提振经济增长。
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