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[lastpost] => 2770519 比特币 2026 年的价格催化剂：宏观顺风和机构支持将推动下一轮牛市（转） 1759331098 万家灯火
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币现货ETF获批后，比特币价格有望一路飙升?（转）
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美国证券监管机构终于如市场所预期的那样批准了比特币现货ETF，这些ETF美东时间上周四1 ~! ]2 g( H0 Y# ^/ i7 [# m
+ q: m! m" r2 m9 e* L
正式开始交易。这一批准可能将刺激比特币价格继续暴涨，影响全球众多资产管理公司的资产配置
Z0 r p {/ B' \8 `3 V/ d4 ?! u: [
* Q! _( V5 f2 Q L* b/ R. D比例，以及刺激加密货币交易所Coinbase(COIN.US)和类似MicroStrategy(MSTR.US)等加密货币公# o. V: M" |* r. e: q
* \" g# Q: z' C5 [) E$ R5 M" Q司的股票价值升值，同时为一些币圈较小规模的初创公司创造出巨额的潜在价值。$ p6 t R- r& N7 k
在2024年，6.9万美元这一比特币价格最高历史纪录很可能将被打破。一些业内高管坚称新一轮比
# U& M( f- t; I' v5 z% p. H+ _; ^/ U( P
特币牛市已经开始，主要基于两件重磅事件:分别是比特币“减半”事件，以及比特币交易所交易基金' m$ \# U4 w" I [ p$ k
) N) k$ j. e4 s2 Q( B( p
(比特币现货ETF)在美国首次获得批准。2 E; k; E) p* j8 h0 V/ R7 Q
. z8 c; b- }# }# c6 d 来自CoinShares的研究主管James Butterfill表示，在美国ZF批准比特币ETF的推动之下，加密货
: Z. _" f/ |9 @! [: Y+ y( L' W" p1 M! M
币资产的前景将在2024年发生“重大变化”。“这一期待已久的发展将扩大加密货币资产的投资者基础，# n2 o5 h8 ~4 s, j4 ~8 a! s8 j
/ M1 O/ c d+ D+ _" |, d并将其与传统金融市场更紧密地整合在一起，”Butterfill接受媒体采访时表示。' D( y2 ?/ _& D
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“有预测数据显示，从目前资产管理机构管理的资产中增加20%的投资(大约30亿美元)可能会将比特
: N; ]5 d X \- X; q% I
2 |, P0 k4 _* z! ^币的价格推高至8万美元。”与此同时，Butterfill补充称，全球央行降息的预期也可能在推动比特币价1 x! s5 O3 C, r, F
5 h* V, c1 g K+ A4 i格走高方面“发挥决定性的作用”。% U% L6 N1 X+ C4 W' E7 _! q
, O" e" Q& ~" D y& g在2023年11月，渣打银行(Standard Chartered)发布报告表示，10万美元大关将受到众多ETF获批的大+ k# t E) `% m
. p2 y y* @6 k力推动。该行还表示，减半大事件也将支持比特币价格趋势。早在4月份，渣打银行就发布报告预测称，
+ ?; K9 n5 t, W8 ^/ ]2 R+ O1 ?0 H5 {7 {; p2 `
2024年年底比特币有望冲击10万美元。
' Z8 ~! F2 Y) G8 Y h3 i6 U4 f" {# y) d% {& b% ]1 Q
自称为加密金融服务公司的Matrixport在11月发布了一份重磅报告，预计比特币到2024年4月将达到
* f6 C* |# T7 b; G; B
, d/ c7 |+ W6 G2 J3 N63140美元，到2024年年底将达到12.5万美元。
' Y( h9 c2 s- E* V
/ `; p* H# h% ]. T) k: X( p) x“根据我们的通胀模型，预计宏观环境放松仍将是加密货币的强劲推动力。预计通货膨胀率将再次下9 r) X# S1 t7 }+ Z- n+ c! B
1 k: N" I+ K' R4 X9 [
降，这可能促使美联储开始降息周期。”“再加上地缘ZZ‘逆流’，因此这种健康的货币支持政策应该
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会在2024年将比特币推向新高。”Matrixport在报告中表示。' c: d( O- Q7 @$ Z' b/ N5 y9 y
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