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[lastpost] => 2768954 下一代公链何去何从？ZK 将重构高效与可信的数位经济（转） 1758799141 22301
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XRP在盘整阶段交易后面临崩溃的风险，分析师预测可能跌至0.4319美元。各种市场指标的支持证据加强了对即将下跌的预测。
" a8 H! m( A3 W% q8 ?- a* O) f在日线图上，Ripple[XRP]的表现一直不佳，这一趋势似乎将继续下去。它已经经历了1.71%的下降，预计还会进一步下降。 W; F. i- D3 Y, J# ~! e0 j
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XRP合并可能导致崩溃 p' c0 h, \6 H% l7 r
根据AMBCrypto的图表分析，XRP在一年多的时间里一直在规定的每日范围内进行整合，这一运动始于8月。$ f& r- c+ v4 Z A4 Q7 }" W
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巩固阶段通常代表积累期，价格在矩形的上下限之间波动，通常为重大崩溃或突破奠定基础。8 N; x& h+ d3 S( Q5 Z% u$ r
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截至本文撰写之时，XRP最近已从上限或阻力线反弹，并可能跌至通道底部，购买压力可能会推动其价格上涨，继续其振荡模式。
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然而，AMBCrypto报告称，抛售压力已经加剧，这表明下限或支撑线可能无法维持，这将导致资产价值进一步下跌。
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供应地销售压力增加
, ?$ F8 T7 C8 C6 D5 x& [AMBCrypto使用Cryptoquant的数据进行的分析表明，XRP的交易所供应份额在过去24小时内显著增加，这表明其价格可能大幅下跌。1 j* ?" P P( `( ]" V& n5 z
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这一增长表明代币在交易所的可用性更高，由于潜在卖家的涌入，其价格面临下行压力。
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已经观察到供应量大幅增加，这通常是由于鲸鱼将大量XRP转移到交易所出售
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0 o" C6 ?6 ~ r# p, w最近，Lookonchain记录了一笔交易，一头鲸鱼在最近几个小时内移动了9500万XRP，相当于超过4900万美元，记录了更多的交易。$ }' w6 O6 {2 N1 r
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此外，据Cryptoquant称，自本月初以来，XRP的交易所流入量稳步上升，进一步增加了交易所的总供应量。$ O' B/ E4 `+ d' v) P! G
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零售交易员的活动加剧了XRP的看跌走势
+ F) Q! M5 B9 D/ B1 Y$ @6 R( N$ U7 W追踪未结算交易的Coinglass对未平仓合约（OI）的详细分析显示，未平仓合约大幅下降7.02%，至5.6397亿美元，这表明散户越来越活跃，可能会对XRP价格的下跌产生影响。$ S3 q: e- j% x7 p1 L4 ]% Q
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这种看跌前景得到了抛物线SAR（止损和反转）指标的进一步支持。3 h5 Z8 _/ O* K! ~/ q7 R Q3 [
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抛物线SAR有助于识别潜在的价格反转和动量，由图表上价格条上方或下方的点标记。这些点的位置变化表明趋势发生了转变。
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