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[虚拟币交流]
山寨季升温，但比特币可能面临短期回调——如何回调？（转）
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币界网报道：
& V; U0 W8 U! E' x9 D关键要点山寨币开始与比特币脱钩，分歧加剧和抛售信号暗示着更广泛的市场正在重新调整。大规模的BTC鲸鱼转移和一个关键的做空信号加剧了市场担忧。虽然不太可能出现大幅崩盘，但比特币和山寨币都可能面临短期回调。
经过数周[url=]山寨币[/url]在整体看涨情绪的推动下，形势可能正在发生转变。 一系列新的链上和技术指标正在发出警告，暗示市场可能出现转变。[url=]比特币的[BTC][/url]主导地位可能会扰乱更广泛的加密市场。 尽管一些山寨币继续取得令人印象深刻的短期回报，但不断上升的分歧和早期的卖出信号引发了人们对这种势头可持续性的怀疑。 随着 BTC 开始与市场其他部分脱钩，投资者正在为山寨币领域可能发生的重大转变做好准备。 山寨币正在按照自己的节奏起舞最近的市场行为正在闪现谨慎。 BTC 与山寨币之间的相关热图[url=]揭示[/url]分歧不断扩大，这是波动性加剧的典型前兆。 当山寨币开始与比特币不同步时，尤其是在如图所示的 12 小时时间范围内，这通常是动荡的迹象。 与此同时，山寨币季节性指数正在攀升，表明越来越多的山寨币表现优于BTC。比特币通常会通过大幅波动来“纠正”这些失衡，令过度杠杆的多头仓位措手不及。 虽然这不是世界末日的信号，但这种组合可能是 BTC 迅速引领现实检验的前提。 鲸鱼采取行动最新的 alpha 量化信号已发出短线信号；这一发展与看跌背离的增加和分布的微妙迹象相一致。 进一步推动叙事的是[url=]最近的举动[/url]传奇巨鲸：超过 80,201 个 BTC，价值 95 亿美元，在沉寂 14 年后被转移到 Galaxy Digital。 虽然这并不意味着投降，但这可能是一种转变；可能是 BTC 的新整合基础。 虚假地板还是健康复测？[url=]接下来是什么[/url]可能是两种可能的情况之一。 首先，BTC 可能会短暂下跌，重新测试关键支撑位——这是一次健康的回调，之后将恢复更广泛的上涨趋势。这将震荡弱手，并重新平衡市场情绪。 或者，在BTC盘整的同时，山寨币可能会面临更深的下跌，尤其是那些已经脱钩或过度扩张的山寨币。这两种情况都会导致暂时的痛苦，而不是彻底的逆转。 - \+ d. S. p6 D8 \2 a. |& [
( }, Z& |, L$ S% T7 T2 y2 S$ s2 M' v( q9 Z
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