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[虚拟币交流]
从哈佛到日本！——两大ETF举措将如何影响比特币（转）
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比特币近期的上涨似乎更多地源于卖方流动性的匮乏，而非新的需求。尽管日本因监管障碍推迟了首只加密货币ETF的发行，但哈佛大学对比特币ETF的1.16亿美元投资仍增强了机构投资者的参与度。4 b. ~# ]0 ^& w1 l) F" \& c
% g$ B( f+ r1 _" i3 |比特币的[BTC]本周的反弹可能与购买量的激增关系不大，而更多的是与币安的供应减少有关；这种情况可能会带来更剧烈的价格波动。
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6 V9 N! j3 \+ |2 Q! [全球市场机构投资者对加密货币的态度呈现分化。在美国，哈佛大学已悄然向比特币ETF投资了1.16亿美元。7 [" i8 q' g6 x' x
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与此同时，在日本，由于监管机构继续致力于敲定必要的规则，该国首个加密货币 ETF 的推出被推迟。
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; D. `8 [: p+ A: o8 Y; J7 E; J( j供应紧缩推动比特币走高6 B/ z8 t3 e5 P; h
数据来自 CryptoQuant这表明，比特币在币安的最新上涨更多的是受到供应有限而非大量新买家的推动。( n& o6 }2 G. l$ O
+ @$ c$ {6 N$ J) s' c+ x# [9 @3 月至 5 月期间，接受者交易量的频繁飙升表明流动性流入强劲，尤其是在 4 月跌至 7.5 万美元之后。- P C8 [2 r! P
7 S1 w% p4 U4 f+ U& }" u( S当然，尽管价格创下历史新高，但这些峰值自 6 月份以来已经缩小，这表明积极购买的现象有所减少。
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限价订单量也保持低迷，反映出当前价格附近缺乏卖家。
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) Z0 {3 _" Y# U+ ~如果供应持续紧张，订单稀少可能会推高价格。然而，如果突然出现大量卖单，市场也容易出现大幅下跌。# H$ }. v) d5 p1 Z k
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哈佛大学1.16亿美元比特币ETF暴跌! e8 I, ]- h) U$ k8 G
随着机构信心的新迹象出现，供应也趋紧。: d# v* B; W6 D& ?) n
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2025 年第二季度 SEC 文件披露哈佛大学已向贝莱德的 IBIT 比特币 ETF 配置了 1.166 亿美元，使其成为该大学第五大股权持有者，领先于 Alphabet。! {) C5 v, _9 p* g$ ~+ |
9 y- b1 s6 M, v. I尽管哈佛的投资组合包括 Meta、微软和亚马逊等重量级人物，但 IBIT 是其唯一直接投资 Web3 的公司。
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/ t/ b! U3 |; Y9 |6 ?) y" U尽管 7 月份比特币 ETF 表现疲软，资金流入滞后，贝莱德的以太坊基金一度超过 IBIT，但这一举措还是出现了。
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+ i/ _$ n: V. ]- U/ s对于关注币安订单簿减少的交易者来说，市场流动性似乎正在收紧。不过，哈佛的加入表明，机构投资者仍然愿意投入资金。! \. h0 F$ u2 ]8 j
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日本首款加密货币ETF仍处于搁置状态
4 T( u& Q0 b2 O0 C$ m, k尽管哈佛等美国机构正在向前迈进，但日本进入加密货币 ETF 领域的步伐却停滞不前。7 O0 j: J$ C& S3 X# V/ m6 d' m
: Y& N- _5 ^5 G) k) ]) ?AMBCrypto 曾报道本周早些时候，SBI Holdings（（一家日本大型金融公司）曾申请比特币-XRP 双 ETF，但该公司后来澄清称尚未提交任何申请，并表示，! c3 [1 u) c* @
" ^+ v4 L$ |$ w: G5 l/ A& g“与一些媒体报道相反，我们尚未向有关部门提交任何组建与加密资产相关的 ETF 的申请。”
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4 l7 K* f/ M( @( H% u1 t4 |据SBI控股公司称，该产品仍处于规划阶段。只有在监管机构最终完成法律修订后，才会提交申请。这些修订旨在根据日本《金融工具与交易法》对某些加密资产进行分类。: m; C6 r5 W2 P2 v7 G
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SBI控股公司代表说，8 E! a. X# b* b4 A3 D. ~* J \: Y
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“在日本，包含加密资产的 ETF 预计将以与金融当局和税务机关的反应一致的方式获得批准……因此，备案将在这些法律修订完成后进行。”- l1 ^% o: Y5 `8 e* f) Z1 ?' t, d8 H+ K
& e4 z6 F! i6 |! k( Z+ D; q金融服务局六月提案取得进展。然而，如果没有确认的框架或时间表，发布可能还需要几个月的时间。- ]5 q* j" O2 w# b+ J0 B
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