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[虚拟币交流]
从比特币到以太坊：一位鲸鱼的 26 亿美元豪赌如何震撼市场（转）
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接受者买入量和 CME 未平仓合约的上升支撑了以太坊，而比特币的未平仓合约持平表明势头正在减弱。
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- a, v4 u R; ], W$ I. Z( n' `5 l; n本周，一家大型加密货币巨头实施了近几个月来最大的投资组合转移之一，成为头条新闻。' F5 U" y7 g+ ]1 M
# a, |& c+ K# [/ _) |根据 Lookonchain，投资者抛售约 22,769比特币[BTC]在 Hyperliquid 上持有价值 25.9 亿美元的 ETH，然后买入 472,920 ETH（22.2 亿美元）现货，并开立 135,265 ETH（5.77 亿美元）多头。
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9 J7 T7 u3 I N" D& l6 F) g此举的规模已使市场注意力转向以太坊[ETH]这引发了一个问题：第二大加密货币是否即将在短期内超越比特币。7 P, ^$ P8 _; b* P/ W
9 _& A9 L6 Z5 |4 [! w! b& [$ p# P解读鲸鱼行为的字里行间* ?4 z. p! T3 o
大型参与者并不总是能正确预测市场，但他们往往行动坚定。事实上，鲸鱼对 ETH 的轮换反映了各交易所 Taker 买入量的明显上升。
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" E( C( e2 m" F9 N& m9 [从 7 月底的 82 亿美元基线到 8 月中旬超过 200 亿美元的多次 [飙升]，买家始终表现出积极提高报价的意愿。
3 r, s% v. c4 j5 U$ a- p; c9 q, W0 l, N1 H& C! e8 d
从历史上看，接受者买入量的激增往往先于短期反弹，因为这反映出市场参与者渴望支付更高的价格，而不是被动等待。& s. k' Q. T7 f# Q
( A+ X1 M% ~5 m自然，这种积极的姿态会为上涨势头增添动力，并可以作为市场情绪转变的早期信号。+ w6 V0 U4 m: P- V
1 l+ K% K+ H/ [( M2 d3 J- y# R4 t为什么是以太坊而不是比特币？
/ n' u* | k1 }. X机构资金流动也支持了这一观点。芝商所 (CME) 的 ETH 期货未平仓合约一直在攀升，这表明尽管散户参与度有所滞后，但专业交易员的参与度仍在不断提升。 U" \2 e; t) u4 o, }; U9 o' i
" }7 u' F! S4 I: n, Y Z6 ]5 n9 U- F话虽如此，比特币看起来有些疲软。BTC 未平仓合约持平，近期价格走势与以太坊的势头相比缺乏说服力。BTC 虽然没有崩盘，但似乎正在盘整。3 R9 ~: J! l/ q! Q# v& m8 i
) ~' I e+ l. p2 k1 u2 _! o" S. _最重要的是，对于管理数十亿资产的巨鲸和其他投资者来说，这足以成为轮换资本的理由。$ F3 J5 E. E- ?% y! Z) O9 H6 G0 R
' F9 c9 Q2 y% B C% m; n B更大的图景3 c( N& ]9 j, G+ K3 X: C
这是以太坊真正摆脱比特币阴影的开始吗？ 现在说还为时过早。7 J- C; G9 ~( Q, c
% N3 p7 s: _4 F5 Z+ X7 \( D然而，鲸鱼信心、机构活动和看涨技术信号的结合使 ETH 在当前市场动态中占据优势。5 q" m/ {; o* b& b
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如果势头保持下去，以太坊可能会继续领先，而比特币则会进行整合，同时市场将测试 ETH 能走多远。 ^/ A* N$ v- j% F: J* z( v6 u6 M
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