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[947] => 版主推荐
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[lastpost] => 948100 如何判断值得信任的菠菜公司 1706554009 damulong1256
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[版主推荐]
越来越发现，学好概率，在菠菜中占据的重要性是那么大
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不论是玩真人，还是体育
3 g: v% C& A/ D. m8 f! r比如真人，首先要计算好每种游戏的抽水率是多少，打个比方，骰宝的抽水就是有216种可能，其中的六种就是通杀
/ ^4 Q; z/ ^, s1 ^& E, E那么抽水率就是 6除以216=2.77% 也就是说，要时刻清醒的告诉自己，每下100元，铁定输给庄家两块七毛七
' V) t) H! D- Q6 a" y/ e+ d这样的话，结合存送等各种优惠，结合返水，找到适合自己的打法，才能使总优惠的概率超过这个 两块七毛七，那么你就是盈利的4 U9 H- V) \* H5 v. [
, o0 R9 t2 O# r3 s) R/ C1 i
体育也是的，虽然体育有技巧在里面，也有假球在里面，下注的时候也要考虑概率
7 {/ W, A4 k- U+ ~' u% ~就拿nba来举例吧，很多人愿意砸盘口，可是盘口的两面水位极其低，尤其的滚球的时候，只有0.83" E7 L% n6 x" {4 L( F2 N
0.83 的意思，就是每下200元抽水17元，竟然高达8.5%，也就是说你每下100元，铁定输给庄家8块5.
T5 a! \ q! |* c0 z再通俗点说，100除以8.5，你按照100一次的下，下了11.76次，这100元必定输光，这个是铁律; ^& C8 s' X M: v, v3 {
况且nba盘口上也许有假球，杀大赔小，就莫不如下 单双好了纯玩运气，赔率0.94 抽水3%，虽然没有技术含量但是稳，这个3%比真人高点，但是不假
8 _, k' w& i! u: x( K想象着自己懂球，去砸0.83，就不算有假球，抽水也早就被抽没了/ v, g; D P- c4 N/ P
下注之前多三思，算算概率简单的数学题，对自己保持清醒的头脑，和盈利最大化，很有帮助 L# X/ t6 U- R/ a6 L2 n2 G" `
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/ A4 U5 R4 s6 O6 v谢谢哈尼支持，必须理性啊, S- a1 _6 |0 s' ~3 v% |
菠菜没有运气一说，就是概率法则 |
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% T( l7 R a9 q. X5 A6 I3 R
你的思路，我一直比较赞同，你的帖子我也在看
6 q4 ?! x( M3 Q你的下注方式，也是比较科学，有空多交流 |
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荷风送香 发表于 2016-1-30 10:03
& l5 D3 Q9 P8 D& [4 n; y$ G/ f不论是玩真人，还是体育% a& x" ` t; i3 m; g0 q9 i i% Y+ X
比如真人，首先要计算好每种游戏的抽水率是多少，打个比方，骰宝的抽水就是有216 ...
所谓的概率那么都是骗人的，还是要运气的 |
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本帖最后由 荷风送香 于 2016-1-30 10:42 编辑 ' B2 r! ^8 R3 h& j L7 @* c' M* z
) S9 v2 J. {/ M是啊 必须算啊
4 ^: `+ C; S, L6 f8 W) \6 H随意想起点 想法，码点字; V. G; I# q }# i
版主还给加分了，多谢{:4_96:} |
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