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[虚拟币交流]
Fed暗示2024降息三次！比特币冲破4.3万美元（14日转）
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* z$ @0 o# U, y! e6 ^' ~美国联准会(Fed)在9、11月连续两次暂停升息后，于今(14)日凌晨3点释出的FOMC声明' p# P2 t% P! V0 q
中，三度维持联邦基准利率在5.25%~5.50%区间不变，一如市场此前预期。
: k; j# ]+ J2 K$ L4 N* n2 X8 {8 I且令投资者兴奋的事，主席鲍威尔(Powell)透露降息也已进入Fed视野。
" D. ?0 [4 A3 S官员预计：2024将降息3次
3 Y- M1 ]$ H; T% z2 L) q虽然Fed在FOMC声明中仍强调实现2%的通货膨胀率是其最终目标，但最新的经济数据表明，经济增长较第三季
3 Z" o y- g5 m% R0 R2 Z/ x( c1 \度有所放缓，就业依然保持强劲、失业率也维持在较低水平。因此，联准会官员在决定维持利率不变的同时，也
" W# |$ @+ S1 N- j* W1 o" h已经开始讨论降息的时机。
- M- ]/ l) u' n1 I主席鲍威尔表示：这将是我们展望未来的一个主题，Fed官员预计明年将三次降息25个基点，这将推动市场大幅
* ?4 u3 I7 Q4 X( Y- ?走高。
7 q5 q9 D& n$ o+ D. |且根据利率点阵图，联准会官员还预计将在2025年再降息四次，他们相信，将不再需要通过提高利率的方式来缓- f$ P9 v* ?0 U/ Z1 j+ h' Q' S
解CPI压力，因为到今年年底，通膨率将放缓至2.8%，2024年底则将降至2.4%。( D* H! H$ { V
比特币冲破4.3万; [9 z1 g- ^* k( O' U& @* J
受到Fed宣布不加息、并透露明年考虑降息的激励下，比特币在今(14)晨六点最高来到43,475美元。1 W. v. H2 W5 Q, P/ R1 }
截稿前略有回落，报42,773美元/近24小时涨幅为3.2%。7 A' K7 P2 s! _ X& x/ H
以太坊同样呈现上涨趋势，稍早最高攀上2284美元，截稿前报2,255美元/近24小时涨幅为2.3%。
9 w; [2 ~) | {, |0 v4 b" W美股四大指数齐扬0 R9 }4 q' S$ @! B, G7 A
回到美股方面，表现也相当亮眼，四大指数齐涨、道指更是创下历史新高：8 j. E3 ~4 ^5 q) e
道琼工业指数：上涨512.3点(1.4%)，收37090.24点" b, h% u/ [4 S8 B' q
纳斯达克指数：上涨200.57点(1.38%)，收14733.96点) I, y% |) D) V8 W/ P# K. E4 O
标普500指数：上涨63.39点(1.37%)，收4707.09点
/ q( u7 D% Y6 x0 z' L+ |# s4 m( R费城半导体指数：上涨60.77点(1.55%)，收3990.95点
; Z9 O f' [: O: m8 H美国10年债殖利率跌破4%
: d. D0 m5 {: u& W另外美国10年期公债殖利率也呈现较剧烈的下跌，撰稿时跌破4%。
8 D) A# _: {- D) T, n, N+ y被誉为「新债券天王」的双线资本(Double Line)创办人Jeffrey Gundlach就预测，美国10年期公债殖利率明年将
: J* {8 n6 W! r& l" v& j- {跌到更接近3%水平。
9 t% E1 b) ]+ Q u, ^
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