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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，
0 x& Z! k5 {$ W q$ v
% c. O6 p4 H- d" T9 l* q) P比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？
L- ^/ g8 {5 r% C6 Z我们认为至少有以下几个原因：( e/ \' E3 V0 W3 I3 F
' ~* z, g J! P* O5 u
1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在
0 R7 v: w" `3 V7 X
5 E$ G8 a2 u8 ^ ^没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过
# a. c( B7 m4 g# b4 @: L( n5 g& H. @1 Z+ I. |9 o; p, l7 F
中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全3 G4 {$ }2 R$ p, p! @: H
! r% c5 Z. e7 n# h" c0 L: S/ R
去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长6 P, P# c X/ }
1 y/ J R- f& M D- D3 d8 K" {
5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH ) o9 @1 \7 p3 j& y+ o8 a4 D
6 d8 m7 O# ]* Z4 \Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和
" x4 g1 ?) P4 ~. j$ l1 Y! s9 j. {: L
ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿
0 R: d# b1 v8 E* V/ Y) j3 S2 c
: \. B1 o2 P6 i9 Y& f% G. t美金）。
$ O. [4 V4 `; Y2 r3 L& p4 ~! e _( B) i& v: }, G9 I
" g) x1 `) u" z& ?- _9 I
2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态
& s& h" Y5 O; }8 s; f" r6 d8 o$ s% F3 B4 J
比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去7 X5 P: Z! R9 A
# H% T: Z0 ^; q
构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。! ]" Z* f) U) Y" e) i; f
8 B4 V5 {6 m+ m, k' ?3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户8 x/ Z$ M+ Q1 l( T- f
3 I* K$ f0 l( }; u1 O0 _尤其大资金的信任和青睐。: p& _+ C2 F" y. n& Y) a% a+ Y
. V0 s* X( K& w" B+ m9 `" `) F3 g. z
4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL
8 j; m/ @# d0 j( p
( b9 P+ r4 f2 ?约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如+ H. [2 Q _& A' [
* M/ n( o0 c& K; b- ^1 N) {
果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美
% j: C+ d y, o1 D+ ^0 _+ I
$ C9 V# Y, v9 P' I4 F9 i2 s' @金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。$ S; W; s5 C2 [$ ~# N" Q
1 w, `& d5 U) z4 H9 a" f
! M+ l+ Z7 Q6 f5 u7 e/ F) n! j# X/ m8 F! \) m
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