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[虚拟币交流]
2024比特币市场大揭秘！鲸鱼动向、投资机会一网打尽！（转）
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未来一周值得关注的关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。9 w/ I0 v% P3 X9 S+ r) z
, P6 p! o9 D9 u+ b' _& @过去一个月比特币的区间形成仍在发挥作用。) y/ M F1 x) b3 d
链上指标显示投资者还不必担心下跌趋势。1月3日，比特币（BTC）出现大幅波动，当# a6 W/ D. n$ W& f, e1 Y- A X
2 R4 ^. e7 Q9 w! M6 \2 z天价格下跌6.3%。尽管面临抛售压力，但未实现净损益（NUPL）等链上指标表明市场
1 f4 U* C# D3 g' _6 m, K' T# M3 L: S/ {1 a2 X; g) @
处于健康的看涨状态。: ~; u1 `7 O0 Z7 |& l
" @% W' n" `9 y' X# PAMBCrypto最近报道称Coinbase溢价正在上升。自9月份以来一直呈正值，但在12月中旬
+ e \. e' L% c; O% ~! M% N8 A/ z! h- b8 N" @
短暂跌至负值区域。这是Coinbase购买压力稳定的迹象，引发了机构投资者在比特币ETF" C+ E% w4 R4 ?! v C& y9 n
. m; S0 u5 E$ t' m获批之前持续买入活动的猜测。
7 G5 T7 a6 X2 j9 l& u1 R
. p* G; P4 A9 v! ZAMBCrypto查看了其他指标来了解BTC的状况，评估公牛的可用弹药。自10月份以来，3 z& u6 Q' p8 s! m1 I
# r& c# h3 }) ^. W$ L. h4 A: k, F$ g
Coinbase溢价差距在大部分时间里都是正值。12月中旬跌入负值区域。它的推论已经被提
# ?3 v9 J( n3 E6 X* z- I1 O0 I' ^# k! E1 C/ V0 F# E
及，但它可以与其他指标相结合以提供更敏锐的洞察力。: t2 I6 o+ N8 ?
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其中一项指标是稳定币供应比率，即BTC的市值除以所有稳定币的总市值。该指标的值较
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: q1 m6 @, L' L0 {5 g低表示购买力较高。该比率自10月初以来一直在飙升，表明购买力一直在下降。BTC的强
+ b( O1 |' Z4 y' `9 {+ T9 A1 x6 g4 f3 _; D- E2 S/ \; B# t, h* b' Y
劲需求导致价格从10月的2.6万美元上涨到12月的4.4万美元。
) n1 g% Z* p5 L& F8 {
6 Y* i% Z) L; ~2 o然而，该指标在过去一个月似乎达到了上限，表明市场参与者可能正在观望和等待。ETF0 k9 j+ A$ L, g" O' L: x3 s2 n
' _* D8 [3 O/ Z1 S7 x& m# G申请、对其批准的争论以及对BTC价格的影响可能导致这种犹豫不决。
2 w1 ]1 J/ G3 |9 Q! q7 _" Q9 e( Z' F3 W) ~6 ~
虽然比特币NUPL创2021年12月以来新高，但投资者不必担心。2023年12月5日，比特币6 @2 u/ H, b" K
z$ _8 o8 H6 z, @& oNUPL攀升至0.5以上，这并不意味着逆转即将到来。相反，市场既不处于欣喜状态，也不
p$ Y; S# q# x9 s o p3 C' t# C$ i1 N, A. V4 t( Z
绝望状态。NUPL在过去的一个月里已经形成了一个平台期，这也与比特币最近几个月无法; _, d" K* S$ Q0 d( W' E8 _/ A+ ^
9 ~/ F Y8 d" f: ]4 s继续其上涨趋势有关。比特币流入交易所的增加是部分原因。
8 r" L4 t3 b8 z& j+ @/ v" M+ O
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因此，比特币持有者必须做好跌至区间低点甚至可能更低的准备。未来一周值得关注的$ d) _/ ]6 F2 R0 \1 N0 y& F+ f. _
2 J5 P6 P* q3 V$ f# D关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。
" u% W! D3 _8 P
4 W& [1 R( A6 |9 K& N" ]; O. v* o! t1 d8 Z
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