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[虚拟币交流]
比特币8月表现远不及传统资产 多国ZF可能抛售库存(转)
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比特币8月表现远不及传统资产 多国ZF可能抛售库存3 T* r: ~. r9 S6 _* D
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( s h) {8 ~/ D6 F4 F. B$ E$ j9 H) _ 8月接近尾声,比特币8月表现落后于传统资产,因流动性下降,且市场持续担心多国ZF可能抛售比特币库存。
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研究公司Kaiko在一份报告中写道,可能进行此番处置的包括美国、天朝、英国和乌克兰,从倒闭的Mt. Gox数字资产交易所
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获得代币的债权人亦是如此。分析显示,总体的比特币供应量可能达到330亿美元。
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& u+ M$ J' N* l' _1 BKaiko估计,美国ZF持有约203220枚比特币,其次是天朝的190000枚,英国的61200枚,和乌克兰的46350枚。各国ZF在
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' S- b" W! x% W* b. ~- o刑事案件中没收加密货币,而乌克兰据信则是收到加密货币形式的捐款。与此同时,Kaiko指出,Mt. Gox还有大约46170个代, V" X1 A& m0 C# Y% k3 W. g
1 N V9 `# A+ `% l# `# x2 c) e4 @" @币待分配。4 V* {# g) Y9 C% X
: e8 a: [3 Q- \ Q3 W2 O( i7 x( v {“供应过剩在整个夏季一直是加密货币市场的一个话题,”Kaiko分析师Adam Morgan McCarthy和Dessislava Aubert表示。他们7 v# s& j+ E6 ^- ?8 V/ V* T
: L. |0 L K8 q7 Z) m+ E" O补充说,“有几个重要的持有者可能成为未来几个月潜在的抛售压力来源”。" |" F- x( G8 Q7 t' K+ ]
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% \& g/ X; i/ P3 M4 B: {流动性减弱( m2 ~7 e4 G, ]- f
" o" A" H% _: {除了担心大量卖压之外,比特币市场流动性稀薄,可能会加剧大宗交易引发的价格波动。8月迄今,比特币在此背景下下跌了大
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约8%,而全球股票和债券指数则上涨了大约2%。
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“比特币现货市场交易量仍然低迷,导致近期价格走势震荡,”Fundstrat Global Advisors LLC的数字资产策略主管Sean Farrell在
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, |5 {2 \7 ?) i" P1 e3 h5 i6 d0 t报告中写道。他补充说,季节性趋势表明,市场活动通常会在美国劳动节假期后回升。
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