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[lastpost] => 2784858 分析师警告——比特币不太可能在2025年出现“圣诞行情”（转） 1764251514 jackcool1011
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当前离线
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川普在一天前还强调不暂停关税，但迅速“食言” 仅对天朝加征125%关税仍执行，对其它国家的关税先暂停90天，仅保留10%的基础关税。 W9 b6 N0 x2 o9 J" v
8 a0 F' _2 y# V6 Q这为市场带来积极动力，部分机构下调美国经济衰退预测。; W2 x/ s; a8 q: e9 A
然而，即便这10%的基础关税，也已是2024年平均关税的四倍，加之25%的进口汽车及零件关税，对美国通胀压力大。通胀主要由房租、二手车, U/ Y* _5 `3 G, g- l- U
- S# D8 @' d8 _和服务业构成，进口车及零件涨价或推高二手车价格，加剧通胀。
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5月的CPI、PCE数据难以反映全面影响，今天消息看维持90天正好到6月结束 实际上大A与币圈美股呈反周期，这两三个月大A应该也是会有个牛
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* X1 u3 [* L+ q9 y0 c市启动前的黄金坑，美联储纪要显示暂无提前降息意图，仍依赖未来就业与经济数据。4 C, Y2 m: @3 ]1 o
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今天的买入情绪还是不错的，上次在乌龙事件的时候我们就说过，用户有钱，只是不敢随便的下场，但这次关税暂时缓解，甚至是衰退都有可能4 D7 t3 }5 G4 r$ |( e" |* ?) ?
% M6 S# {1 L2 h( q延后，就有部分投资者原因博弈一下。, e* i3 B/ n4 v3 R
# F# _+ K2 g3 V9 G r! I如果你没吃到比特币这波超8%的快拉，真的没必要自责。 这波行情本来就不在技术图里。 纯粹是懂王一句话，情绪直接点火。( h" @4 C) y3 I5 U7 r7 z0 p
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4 j& _8 W) a: {$ @从数据上来看市场反弹带来小幅换手上升，BTC主力换手方为短期投资者，而长期筹码仍在观望中。83,000美元附近形成新的筹码密
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0 Z& ?+ j r; b6 h+ ~3 T3 `7 g% U集区形成“筑底”雏形。93,000 - 98,000美元区间的投资者非常稳健，仅有极少量换手，即便BTC回撤到74,000美元也未恐慌，说明该区目
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4 I0 f3 x3 t: [8 s1 B% M前并无强压。
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