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[lastpost] => 2750392 比特币交易员注意！—为什么这个指标预示BTC可能下跌20%（转） 1752889314 22301
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当前离线
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+ F! y: i* P! w* X) ?比特币价格在连续数日盘整后多头和空头均未能完全掌控局面，目前在83,000美元至86,00 美元之间波动， t# {7 ]/ n1 P/ Q A
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/ q' e1 H( U8 p9 V3 ^3 z/ W这种犹豫不决反映了全球金融市场普遍存在的不确定性。尽管守住83,000美元的支撑位，但比特币多头仍
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未能收复预示新一轮动能的关键移动平均线，若该价格水平未能守住可能会引发新一轮抛售；如果空头重
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新掌控局面会将比特币推低至80,000 美元（甚至更低），9万美元仍然是比特币多头必须收复才能扭转市场$ g% ?( l7 X3 O1 e7 X
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$ a* J4 V% k V% h) A5 W$ `情绪的关键门槛，而8.1万美元区域则是近期的关键底部。
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芝加哥商品交易所 (CME) 比特币期货持仓量暗示着市场格局正在发生变化，因为一批交易员似乎正在削减持
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9 \: c- s' _6 ~( e: j$ v仓，这可能表明他们持谨慎态度，或在强劲上涨后获利了结。
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数据显示资产管理公司和其他参与者的行为呈现出分化，其中资产管理公司的净多头仓位在2024年末达到60亿0 D! M3 `% p; j, _
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美元峰值，但此后已大幅削减至25亿美元左右。另一方面，“其他”类别（可能包括散户投资者和小型机构）的1 h$ S; X6 N' {7 o1 r3 \" g( m. k" y
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6 H4 i) y' p! h! ?9 I0 @5 d净多头仓位急剧增加，该数字目前已达到约15亿美元，为一年多来的最高水平，表明非机构市场参与者的看涨
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情绪重燃。
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纳斯达克上市比特币矿企Bitdeer在X平台发布比特币持仓最新数据，截至4月18日其比特币总持有量已增至1212.2 枚, Z! B) C/ `6 ^1 ~& X
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（注：该数量为纯持仓，不包括客户存入的比特币），此外本周其比特币挖矿产出为40枚BTC，但出售了22枚BTC。
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