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[虚拟币交流] 比特币关键指标再次闪烁——BTC 会反弹至新高吗？（转）
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1#
随着比特币徘徊在历史高点附近，积极的购买行为再次出现，但鲸鱼的行为却呈现出分歧。7 l8 t* k% o5 m9 m9 c
RSI 信号超买水平，而 MACD 动量减弱——BTC 需要突破 105,000 美元，否则有回调风险。$ b: e  w. V8 U0 H) k. @& E3 M0 t) ]
比特币的[BTC]随着积极的买家涌入市场，市场势头再次增强。
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接受者买入/卖出比率已飙升至 1.02，这是自几次历史性突破以来从未见过的水平，表明市场参与者的信心日益增强。
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链上数据显示，大型钱包正在加大增持力度，为许多人猜测的可能创下历史新高的最后冲刺做好准备。* d- a( Y8 `, o1 i. Y) v" G
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随着市场情绪升温，BTC 价格徘徊在之前的峰值下方，下一轮上涨行情是否即将开始？
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市场信心[激增]？
. p' o6 G+ _! Z# u根据最近的CryptoQuant 报告，Taker 买入/卖出比率已果断突破 1.00 大关，达到 1.02——这一水平在历史上与比特币价格走势的突破时刻相关。
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2022 年末，在 15,000 美元至 20,000 美元的积累区附近以及 2023 年 10 月突破 30,000 美元之前也出现了类似的峰值。( Z6 R9 n- U0 `9 g

8 |' M9 p+ L1 i% V5 v随着 BTC 目前徘徊在历史高点附近，积极购买的回归表明人们的信心日益增强——但这也提高了风险，因为这个门槛此前曾先于上涨和急剧逆转。0 u& W" e+ h* A/ P7 C  w

9 W' V, y5 C: l1 }, ]超级持有者已暂停
+ p8 W$ w$ E; x1 ^* y: Q尽管总体积累趋势依然看涨，但仔细观察就会发现行为发生了微妙的转变。/ F! j4 W9 b% ?0 i9 B

. Z, A; Y3 S4 I( W( K! H& S9 f1 D, L根据 Glassnode，持有超过 10,000 BTC 的超大鲸鱼已经冷却了他们的购买活动，回到了 0.5 左右的中性积累分数。
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相比之下，中等规模的群体（持有 1,000 至 10,000 BTC 的钱包）仍然是活跃的买家，得分接近 0.9。  i/ ]# @1 c! \8 |' ^$ y
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即使是规模较小的机构投资者也表现出持续的强劲势头。然而，散户投资者仍在继续分散资金。+ L6 |8 z! h8 {8 s8 d8 R; R0 C! b8 ?

- b! }" ~1 P! ]! f尽管看涨势头持续，但推动涨势的主要是中等规模的投资者，而非资金雄厚的投资者。* Z) k* {, {, [3 h) ~8 r# Y. Z+ y! v
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比特币显示出疲软迹象" k# P' m4 q: _! {5 P* }; r: u$ F5 P
RSI 为 70.68，确认了超买状况，这通常是局部顶部或小幅回调的前兆。5 e8 B& B5 K* U+ T% o0 ^

7 I( k. n& C0 O% w此外，MACD指标仍保持看涨，MACD线位于信号线上方。然而，动能正在趋于平缓，反映出购买压力正在降温。
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尽管早些时候出现飙升，但价格仍然维持区间波动，暗示可能出现疲软。
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如果 BTC 未能令人信服地突破 105,000 美元，那么在任何持续突破尝试之前，短期回调至 100,000 美元或更低的支撑区域仍然有效。3 s: J/ E% p( x! R

8 d6 J0 l4 N! ?2 [  ?

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2#
这个会反弹也是很正常的了。

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3#
价格的问题不太好说的啊.

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4#
这个希望还是相当的大的啊。

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5#
主题回复处广告图案-天策传媒
现在难道不是新高吗？怎么会这样的问呢

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6#
有可能的啊，还是会有反弹了

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7#
这个会反弹也是不好说的呀。

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8#
再次闪烁的也是有可能会反弹了

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