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相信有很多*球的初哥都为不懂如何把欧盘换算为亚盘而苦恼, 而如果不懂得将欧盘精确换算成亚盘及水位的话, 面对庄家开出的各种错综复杂, 各有差异的盘口和水位, 就很难做到运筹帷幄, 胸有成竹, 就不容易把握庄家的意图, 当遇到笋盘的时候也容易疑神疑鬼, 错失良机, 下面我教大家一个简单扼要的方法, 记住要看主队赔率或是让球方赔率, 因为亚洲盘口是以主队或是让球方为重点来调整水位的, 只要把握住了主队或是上盘的盘口和水位就行了(水位点数一律按照总数18.5点来计算, 与澳门盘相同).
( z. q8 O. v9 D+ A d0 H$ E; ~4 K* }2 T/ a3 x( Y" D- j( E
从欧洲盘口换算亚洲盘口公式:6 `% S) d6 T% B4 A% I! w9 d: |
% ]3 z0 X8 y$ b8 h+ h, b( k+ ~+ s
主(上), J4 ]3 Q0 f+ R) ~
2 B3 A" H- d/ B; [$ V/ D y
平手 2.30—2.60+ l z0 k9 |2 C3 N$ K
) R* w" A$ s$ ~
平半 1.90—2.30
! T5 I: O1 H! W& j' T) ^- o8 o% t9 o# Y% n! B, a
半球 1.70—1.90
( ]* z) s. Y4 \( Z6 \; D7 s3 F- ^* Y" V2 o8 W: r
半一 1.60—1.70
& B0 }3 _3 G3 o! s
7 B9 A6 C8 ?2 U9 Y" P0 G% p& W一球 1.45—1.606 p4 _+ N. Z7 E
S H) a* J& j3 Q* m0 s2 Z5 k一球球半 1.35—1.45
' _* z9 X# |( u1 v! B
9 Z4 ]5 L) g; h5 h5 m9 g6 K6 p球半 1.25—1.35: X3 L) w _. y! Z5 k6 F- t
6 ]6 m. S' ]- J, K- n/ u8 S2 _
球半二球 1.15—1.25+ F9 K7 m6 L9 k1 J! R3 C# c3 J) T
: Y0 y s7 o1 ^' v0 E; e
开到二球或以上的盘口已经失去了投资的价值, 所以本人未曾研究和统计.2 x. @7 l$ @$ m( a0 ^( _
+ j: w$ u- i3 x& `
下面接着要讲的是怎样通过公式来精确换算盘口和水位:: d. P% u- F6 g0 `
例如: 2.30—2.60; N) r- w; i2 T; I* Y/ m) ?
这条是平手盘的公式, 主客两队的水位就由最低点到最高点上下浮动,' r( s9 O w& @. _5 H6 h
例如欧盘是2.30 则换算成亚洲盘应为主队平手8水客队105水(亦可开平半105水, 因为是与下一条公式的连接点)
' d% d8 W2 [5 n例如欧盘是2.40 则换算成亚洲盘应为主队平手9水客队9.50水7 ~* h0 l0 Z& V: L8 T* i2 C3 r
+ \# O4 f P: @$ Y5 _例如欧盘是2.60 则换算成亚洲盘应为主队平手10水客队8.5水
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如此类推, 照公式的上下范围分成低水, 中水, 高水三部份来推算, 记住要看主队赔率或是让球方赔率, 还有一点提醒大家注意, 盘口的大小和水位的高低有时会随着比赛性质的不同而有所差异, 比如意甲有时盘口会开小一些或水位高一些, 西甲有时盘口会开大一些或水位低一些, 大家算惯了就明白啦欧盘与胜平负百份比概率的换算
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4 g6 M2 f, G) m+ E在上面我已经说过了欧盘的基本知识和赔率换算的公式, 那么我们可以反过来看问题, 既然40%的概率=2.25的赔率, 那么反过来说,2.25的赔率亦=40%的概率, 所以我们就用那条公式来把百份比概率中的绝大部份有用的数据都计算了一遍, 比如当概率为50%时应开什么赔率, 计算过程100÷50=2-0.2=1.80, 亦即是说, 凡是1.80的赔率, 就代表着博采公司认为有50%的机会, 以下就是计算出来的数据列表:
; D4 e0 C# c" O. _, v4 M
% f1 m8 ~; L/ j; Y( l1.10=81% 1.12=80% 1.14=79% 1.15=78% 1.16=77% 1.17=76% 1.20=74-75%
* {. B/ i; }5 m8 G( H
2 x1 d$ |0 E4 U, Y2 t' ?. {& L. ~1.22=73% 1.25=71-72% 1.28=70% 1.30=69% 1.33=67-68% 1.36=65-66%7 G7 w' J8 T; G8 ~6 n# A* j& D
/ @* [6 K4 D+ k, L# Z' g
1.40=63-64% 1.45=61-62% 1.5=60% 1.53=59% 1.55=58%1.57=57% 1.60=56%: X& [" R, L9 {' V% `! M
7 I! h' m: E- ?+ V* s/ {" M1.62=55% 1.65=54% 1.70=53% 1.72=52% 1.75=51% 1.80=50% 1.85=48-49%7 f! i% r' @1 r; Y6 ^; X: v% z
$ Q4 w i! h5 s' l4 J$ @7 w" D
1.90=46-47% 2.00=44-45% 2.10=42-43% 2.20=41% 2.25=40% 2.30=39% 2.35=38%9 Y( N. V' Y* h) F' m& f
1 K" k9 E- X. a- F6 R) |2.40=37% 2.50=36% 2.60=35% 2.65=34% 2.70=33% 2.80=32% 2.90=30-31%- z+ l" K% u L+ u
7 h% c& d; j( u1 ^, Z- x
3.00=29% 3.20=28% 3.30=27% 3.40=26% 3.60=25% 3.70=24% 3.90=23%3 x2 h5 M) P% `. J: k$ w
7 q3 ~4 F# ~6 {* D& U4.00=22% 4.20=21% 4.50=22% 4.70=19% 5.00=18% 5.30=17% 5.50=16%( x3 w8 h" ?3 w x* e1 E
' a$ y6 x! p% I/ u: s6.00=15% 6.50=14% 7.00=13% 7.50=12% 8.00=11% 9.00=10% 10.00=9%( Q- l0 z' F0 c/ T) ~: [
8 d1 d! N: ~! R2 A% i. b; ~
11.00=8% 12.00=7% 15.00=6% 18.00=5% 23.00=4% 30.00=3%
2 u- P7 c" C$ O' H) v; _0 W" W3 P5 X
下面说一下怎样来运用这个数据列表:7 M& f G/ K- n: t# X1 H" J
# M5 `$ D; ?) v4 }, \9 a0 P6 S假设我们看到某场比赛的欧盘为主队1.80, 平局3.20, 客队4.00, 通过数据列表我们就可知道博采公司认为主队胜的机会为50%, 打平的机会为28%, 客队胜的机会为22%, 呵呵…一目了然, 简单实用, 有一些差别细微的赔率列表中没有列出的, 我们可以取它的左右平均值, 如赔率3.10即=28.5%的机会. 盘口的分析要盘路与水位一起分析 |
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