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[虚拟币交流]
联准会加息0.25、利率创22年新高！比特币冲高29700（转载）
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在今(27)日凌晨举办的美国联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议上，联准会一如市场预测宣
9 v9 b9 c% o U0 G5 S布升息一码，将基准利率调高至5.25%-5.50%，创下自2001年以来最高水平。
& d* O3 z* L$ w- h6 `6 G1 O鲍威尔：9月不排除连续升息
" n1 G: T' J* p8 ~1 V( I/ e8 W2 _. R联准会声明同样保持先前立场，在实现2%的通胀目标之后，Fed才会考虑采取宽松的货币政策，并依旧将监测通* B$ Q6 K2 C4 c! H! y$ Y
胀的滞后性：在确定额外政策紧缩程度以及当通胀率恢复到2%时，联准会才将考虑政策带来积累的紧缩、对经济3 r/ o1 D; N9 a7 E7 y) }3 J+ M) C
活动造成的影响，并持续勘测通胀的滞后性。+ v$ @9 o# S7 c8 A, w
联准会主席鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)也表示当前不排除于9月FOMC会议上连续升息的可能：如果有数据支持，我
, J. }3 ?2 G& c" \们有可能在9月的会议上继续提高利率…在有信心通膨可持续回落至2%目标之前，我们打算维持限制性立场。
. d: B, K- Z3 L1 y, C' {2 Q" ?/ Q同时鲍威尔重申，联准会不太可能在今年降息，并指出部分FOMC成员已将明年降息纳入经济预测。根据
( X- | ^ c0 R; K( S! H& F6 A, {! J& K. p1 UCMEGroup的FedWatch工具显示，市场当前认为联准会在9月继续加息的概率为22%，而保持当前利率水准的概( A; j Z8 f: N( r- c: \: T
率为78%" M9 K! S" d5 W9 F4 F }
相信美国经济会软着陆
" V2 ?, g, n( _- o* p. L v. f. V4 H至于短期的经济发展，当时6月的FOMC会议声明称经济活动持续以「适当的」(modest)的步伐扩张，本次声明
1 R2 f+ v& ?# Y. H- U4 A, q' a则称：经济活动一直以「温和的」(moderate)步伐扩张。
4 m: n/ s0 D1 A8 u鲍威尔仍相信，联准会可以带领美国经济软着陆，在维持限制性政策、通膨率下降的同时，避免引起严重的经济
4 M/ n# k# K$ B- W0 H% R衰退。1 S% p4 [5 ~+ F! E9 n0 E; f' F
美股市场微跌，比特币突破$29,650
) C5 M$ ?* U8 e# x由于升息一码符合市场此前的预期，因此美股市场并未发生过大的波动，四大指数市场表现如下：
2 j5 z( U. a" N; A4 I* B% z道琼工业指数上涨0.23%(82.05点)、收35,520.12点% x; g6 k) x6 r
纳斯达克指数下跌0.12%(17.27点)、收14,127.28点& f/ L; _" t7 c( L- f
标准普尔500指数下跌0.02%(0.71点)、收4,566.75点
% F. K& p9 W" v7 g% G4 S费城半导体指数下跌1.49%(55.89点)、收3,699.37点。
& i& H- c% i: _% x, M- ]值得注意的是，比特币在联准会公布升息消息后再震荡中开启一波小幅上涨，一度逼近$29,700。截稿前，比特币
" Y4 G$ N& n' N; q g报价$29,342，近24小时涨幅0.5%。
0 X" |4 [6 [' O5 B9 L* c9 [
* X9 L2 v* w0 t$ z# G |
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