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0 _! X, u4 Q$ c7 l |) Q' w) d一、百家樂常见的错误
' i% t, k' D% l4 n+ E
6 N/ B" m) U& `! Y3的搭配机率是1/8，如果见持续3个不异的搭配，例如BBPBBPBBP之后用3式缆反买BBP（即PPB），中一口的成功机率是否1/8x/1/8x1/8x1/8=1/4096答案是否认的。由于持续3个不异搭配已经实际呈现，等于4096个搭配之中有4096–8=4088个搭配不成能呈现，只剩低余下的8个搭配可以呈现，所以胜的机遇率仍旧是7/8。现详细列出他们以便利理解：4 I& m, J' x$ b7 z( Q0 f
6 @, ~/ c2 N( S6 u$ @
1、BBP，BBP，BBP，BBB: A" @1 v% n1 h6 A$ p4 K- u6 Y2 e6 t
2、BBP，BBP，BBP，BBP1 E c. M5 J; }+ P/ g
3、BBP，BBP，BBP，BPB
6 @- G+ d l4 l* k0 x# h) c* |4、BBP，BBP，BBP，BPP
& C X+ U. @! H( V' z5、BBP，BBP，BBP，PPP @4 ]( b6 e1 ?0 Y" m2 T1 ^ D3 S
6、BBP，BBP，BBP，PPB
1 _7 w! F7 s& G7、BBP，BBP，BBP，PBP1 X! B C" o4 Y1 T; g4 o: e
8、BBP，BBP，BBP，PBB/ W' F! ~. i0 O* f. s. e: c
+ n5 H; u1 S% G
所以无论是什么搭配，当它已经实际呈现，它的概率必定是1。已经实际呈现的BBPBBPBBP概率是1，用3式缆买反的整体胜率依然是7/8。2 d) h! @: f" @9 S8 v) q
/ M9 d+ c# S2 f: _2 A" p
二、2式缆赌N搭配的错误有一个很自然的想法，之前开了例如BBBPB，跟着反买它即PPPBP去赢1个码,机遇率是1/32，死穴是反复的BBBPB。
\' z) d6 e" Q5 `0 o
; j- G$ i" @8 O( p& H# O为了节流金钱，好自然想到如果输了1口或2口才追，一来可以增加取胜机遇，二来可以节流金钱，所以便发生“同买分歧，分歧买同”的心理和策略。例如:见BBBPB，再见B，可能会认为如果买了第一口已经输了，余下四口用4式缆博赢一口的机遇会大一些；又或者等已出了二口BB才用3式缆博赢一口的机遇会大一些。现实上，这个策略是按比例裁减了一些胜及负的搭配来换取低成本:只见B才下注，便会错过8个BXXXX及8个PXXXX的搭配；同样只见BB才下注，便会错过12个BBXXX及12个PPXXX的搭配；所以这个策略亦没有提高风险回报比率，它的取胜机率完全由运用的式缆来决议，即2式缆=3/43式缆=7/84式缆=15/16。
$ T2 C! M' i1 e% p三、结论1 S3 J6 @9 O2 J
: @% n# f9 t- p无论等任何模式下注，如，PP后买B（拐弯法）；PPBP后买P连；PPBPPPBP后买P不连完全没有影响50%定理。# [2 }/ y# g6 `' _1 i
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