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[虚拟币交流]
2024比特币市场大揭秘！鲸鱼动向、投资机会一网打尽！（转）
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未来一周值得关注的关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。
2 n/ ?/ [& Z1 k: c8 g% K; F9 R c ]( b0 e0 X+ l7 `* a
过去一个月比特币的区间形成仍在发挥作用。
7 j5 D" Z, n, j8 \" Q1 q6 o9 f链上指标显示投资者还不必担心下跌趋势。1月3日，比特币（BTC）出现大幅波动，当
( B& V' w5 C2 p+ d4 G4 I" r/ U3 ? \3 n' e2 C
天价格下跌6.3%。尽管面临抛售压力，但未实现净损益（NUPL）等链上指标表明市场; n. @8 Q) ^" m8 k; w6 q5 o$ H
; @6 Q8 G# |/ g3 S0 F! w9 B处于健康的看涨状态。8 y- Y9 \. C. o" N0 a
6 L3 l _8 t$ |2 ?( Q* }AMBCrypto最近报道称Coinbase溢价正在上升。自9月份以来一直呈正值，但在12月中旬
6 O' Q) T/ G8 |0 s. u; U6 C4 v; P5 D; ^. H
短暂跌至负值区域。这是Coinbase购买压力稳定的迹象，引发了机构投资者在比特币ETF
6 F5 Y7 i3 B3 r7 E8 n) V8 A0 h# U
4 F7 Y1 Z- d6 w+ A4 d获批之前持续买入活动的猜测。8 n8 H" f5 a1 c0 S1 B9 G
3 A0 Q# O3 }/ e. i$ oAMBCrypto查看了其他指标来了解BTC的状况，评估公牛的可用弹药。自10月份以来，
. X2 F6 [( O r8 R4 r( N. x. ?; F% C+ Q" E$ Z
Coinbase溢价差距在大部分时间里都是正值。12月中旬跌入负值区域。它的推论已经被提
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# T( o/ N7 n, M/ K6 @. Z" u6 k( n及，但它可以与其他指标相结合以提供更敏锐的洞察力。
, ~3 X/ R! r, A8 Y' p" J- j# q$ w% U) Z" j
其中一项指标是稳定币供应比率，即BTC的市值除以所有稳定币的总市值。该指标的值较
7 b2 y& T; `: m9 }( G& ` G; y$ k) K5 D- A) G
低表示购买力较高。该比率自10月初以来一直在飙升，表明购买力一直在下降。BTC的强- O9 }1 b% F6 X( k! K; O$ Q: |
4 X* v" B& u4 W9 t+ f- A
劲需求导致价格从10月的2.6万美元上涨到12月的4.4万美元。
4 p$ q f7 M- p! J9 P" v, C! R0 `* P7 \7 ~
然而，该指标在过去一个月似乎达到了上限，表明市场参与者可能正在观望和等待。ETF, a( e* g1 g7 g5 d1 |4 C
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申请、对其批准的争论以及对BTC价格的影响可能导致这种犹豫不决。
9 k+ x$ d+ C0 U& n8 d$ W4 L, s3 h$ v3 p$ y/ `8 Y/ O
虽然比特币NUPL创2021年12月以来新高，但投资者不必担心。2023年12月5日，比特币
7 k3 F/ l/ _7 V- B0 C/ k% y+ c, ~' P% b$ T
NUPL攀升至0.5以上，这并不意味着逆转即将到来。相反，市场既不处于欣喜状态，也不% t4 l B. @* r
) w( A) o \, g& r绝望状态。NUPL在过去的一个月里已经形成了一个平台期，这也与比特币最近几个月无法4 \- x( K6 m9 w/ Z$ ?
2 G* o# E2 Y& F
继续其上涨趋势有关。比特币流入交易所的增加是部分原因。
3 d, s4 D5 j9 ?# W6 @5 Z! l& |3 D u1 @% @: K
9 W: o) \# t6 K2 {因此，比特币持有者必须做好跌至区间低点甚至可能更低的准备。未来一周值得关注的
3 B; c& j4 V9 L+ W
9 V! D$ V4 b& Z; @, x关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。
5 L& ^& n6 P% t: Y* C1 h, p/ {
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