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[lastpost] => 2761395 40亿美元比特币利润引发争议！——评估BTC的隐性风险（转） 1756623381 rainwang
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币下杀6万美元！ 若贺锦丽胜选，BTC恐回测四万支撑位（转）
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, J. y1 e) e+ K* c8 g伯恩斯坦分析师表示，尽管比特币长期看涨，但美国大选结果将在短期内影响加密货币市场走势，若川普胜选，比特币可能将触及80,000 至90,000 美元；若贺锦丽获胜，比特币可能将下跌，并测试40,000 美元支撑位。
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% h9 {+ h( Z& {* b8 h备受关注的美国大选已经进入最后一个月倒计时，华尔街顶级投行伯恩斯坦（Bernstein）分析师近期也再度重申表示，从长期来看，无论大选结果如何，在低利率、持续的美国财政赤字政策和前所未有的债务水平状况之下，比特币都将向好发展。
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$ E1 w- b# g$ Q/ r! `0 C贺锦丽胜选恐致比特币回测4 万美元
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" h, f( u; [1 F不过，伯恩斯坦分析师也表示从短期来看，如果民主党候选人贺锦丽最终获胜，短期内市场可能将受到打击，比特币可能也将重新测试40,000 美元的支撑位：7 ~' G; _8 v% ]- y' y. M
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如果贺锦丽获胜，在短期内，我们预计比特币将下跌，并可能将测试40,000 美元的支撑位。- x5 J: p8 ~* r3 D6 v9 ^* |5 ]
但如果是美国前总统川普胜选，将更有助于比特币上涨，BTC 甚至可能因此冲高至80,000 到90,000 美元：
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川普的胜利将对比特币和加密货币市场产生越来越积极的影响，在川普获胜的情况下，我们预计比特币将再创历史新高，达到80,000 或90,000 美元。
/ H$ ]% ^) U1 A Z) v$ w* m山寨币在选举前将保持震荡. ~* P7 T8 U4 v# X
5 _ y1 p- U. l3 [# T( ?同时，伯恩斯坦分析师还预计，包括ETH、SOL 等一系列山寨币，在选举前无论如何都将保持区间震荡，因为除了选举结果外，山寨币上涨还需要美国SEC 和白宫在加密监管上做出更为明确的规定。
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比特币下杀6 万大关
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而在加密货币市场方面，尽管稍早美股收涨，但是比特币昨晚短暂触及62,411 美元后就急速下滑，今（10）晨接近五点时最低来到60,302 美元。$ g" k2 d O5 p1 S) N/ l
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撰稿当下报60,685 美元，近24 小时下跌2.73%，能否站稳六万美元还需更多时间观察。
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川普胜率达到53.2％4 F2 Q& Y d& E& N/ ]/ Y. L0 z
f' h, V0 \! Z, ^* H/ ~- l据目前大热的预测市场Polymarket数据显示，市场押注川普获胜的机率已经与贺锦丽拉开距离，为53.2％，贺锦丽只有46.2％。但民调结果本来就常有波动，请谨慎判断。
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