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[lastpost] => 2806611 加密货币再添寒意!“比特币牛市旗手”大砍2026年目标价(转) 1771036060 龙飞凤舞789
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币强势反弹:多头剑指10万美元大关,空头紧急平仓避险(转)
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比特币空头面临深度亏损的风险,因为现货比特币ETF的资金流入激增,凸显了机构投资者需求的回升。8 b C3 O7 ^1 x/ c" R6 V5 K7 a
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要点总结:5 c7 e% M. l0 t- ]! d
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看空的比特币交易者被比特币突破9万美元的反弹所措手不及。( d/ B' a# k# L' U, T
现货交易量推动了比特币价格的上涨。
2 b& s+ i3 ^# Z4 G% v$ Q$ n1 m带有看空偏向的衍生品头寸仍面临清算风险。4 M, M6 c8 [$ ~4 ^
比特币在4月24日维持在93,000美元以上,暗示52天的熊市可能已经结束,最低触及74,400美元。尽管比特币开始表现出与股市的脱钩迹象,7 k5 o* R6 P& r! I# ?
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但专业交易者并未改变其策略,正如比特币期货和保证金市场数据所显示的那样。2 T" m8 }0 h5 x. }2 q1 }$ m9 d
& N! N0 r& H. j& K4 Y. y# ?8 B
- o' g' h8 h* q4 S 较高的多空比率反映了更倾向于多头(买入)仓位,而较低的比率则表示倾向于空头(卖出)合约。目前,币安平台顶级交易员的多空比率为1.5倍,
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相较于10天前的2倍水平有所下降。在欧易(OKX)平台,该比率在4月17日接近1.1倍,但自那以后失去动力,目前为0.9倍。
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比特币在美元走弱和标普500目标被削减的背景下大放异彩
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比特币在4月20日至4月24日之间的10%反弹恰逢美国总统特朗普对进口关税持更温和态度,并批评美联储主席Powell,后者因维持高利率而受到批评。
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( k* h% D" N- P4 J9 V/ o4月24日,特朗普表示“无意”解雇Powell,这标志着他之前言辞的显著转变。! ]5 Q$ q/ y: r" [
) y0 ^- }. g" c( o' C: t' D& ? 在经济不确定性中,德意志银行的策略师将其年底标准普尔500目标下调了12%,降至6,150点。同时,美国美元对其他主要货币走弱,推动DXY指数* {2 c7 o9 R5 W" n0 J1 K
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跌破99,创下三年来的首次低点。尽管过去30天比特币的涨幅为6%,但其表现使其成为全球八大可交易资产之一,市值达到1.84万亿美元。) f% q+ Z8 J6 C- d& h7 r
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比特币突破9万美元的急剧上涨令看空的比特币交易者措手不及,导致4月21日至4月22日之间超过3.9亿美元的杠杆空头(卖出)期货仓位被强制平仓。
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更重要的是,比特币期货的总未平仓合约量仍仅比历史最高水平低5%,这表明看空交易者尚未完全退出其仓位。$ I' ~2 \5 i4 c1 Z
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如果比特币的价格保持上涨势头并突破95,000美元,根据CoinGlass的数据,可能会有额外的7亿美元空头(卖出)期货仓位被强制平仓。这一潜在的
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空头挤压可能会特别挑战看空者,尤其是在比特币现货交易所交易基金(ETF)出现强劲流入的情况下,4月21日至4月23日之间的流入总额超过了22亿美元。
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一项由软银、Cantor Fitzgerald和Tether共同宣布的合资企业计划通过可转换债券和股权融资积累比特币,这可能进一步增强看涨的理由。该公司名为
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“Twenty One Capital”,是一个比特币金库公司,由Strike创始人Jack Mallers领导,计划以42,000枚比特币的规模启动。9 @* ]; ?& D! `; @1 B
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顶级交易员在比特币保证金和期货市场中的反应较为平淡,表明近期的买入压力主要来自现货市场,这通常被视为可持续牛市的积极信号。
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比特币在90,000美元以上的整合时间越长,对空头的压力就越大,因为这个价格水平加强了比特币脱钩股市的叙事。这可能为挑战100,000美元的0 U' i: c" E' a& P
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心理关口提供所需的信心。9 d2 s7 C, N) C5 v3 H
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