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[虚拟币交流]
将比特币路的映射到$ 98K - 分析关键障碍，反弹的几率（转）
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BTC鲸鱼流入本周增长了26％，但长期流出仍然超过积累。
( O& M7 h, t! f' \5 ?比特币的价格发散和估值冲突可能会将干净的突破延迟至98,000美元以上。
8 O+ ]9 u4 ]$ X7 N比特币[BTC]正在显示潜在反弹的早期迹象，并由TD顺序购买支持信号在每小时图表上，并更新了技术势头。发稿时，BTC的交易价格为95,952.36美元，在过去24小时内下降了0.33％。
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* y3 M3 Y9 v+ S& P% x3 k尽管价格的合并低于$ 96,000，但几个基于链和衍生品的指标表明，如果关键的结构信号一致，则BTC可能正在为决定性举动做准备。
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鲸鱼的积累显示出短期流入，但是…
. e. F4 E8 \. S9 m1 m# U9 t' T鲸鱼的新鲜积累提供了乐观的第一个火花。在过去一周中，大型持有人的Netflow上升了26.41％，这表明当前水平的短期定罪。- L0 a) R, j& R9 a1 e- [
, s3 W/ J$ [2 z5 v2 N0 e但是，更广泛的趋势仍然减少了30天和90天的Netfrows，分别下降了-108.09％和-110.13％。
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6 I5 A; B8 F# J) Z) ?! n' V) g因此，尽管恢复了最近的恢复，但长期分布仍在对持续的看涨势头构成挑战。+ q. b& X1 G! ]3 H
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最重要的是玻璃节数据显示链上使用情况的显着增加，过去24小时内记录了925,914个活动地址。0 l- h: r- U3 m9 V
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这标志着六个月内网络活动的最高水平，并标志着强大的区块链参与。
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9 Q& C, k( p( d$ y7 R Q _( q V然而，热情可能很热。 Santiment Price DAA发散的价格为-225.82％，显示价格超过了有机地址的增长。
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4 ], y4 P1 q) {9 T估值指标揭示了BTC市场健康的信号冲突
5 f# G. {& E, \1 Z几种估值模型提出了混合的前景。
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) i' v2 f* D) A, u7 i9 UPUELL多个坐在1.36处，表明矿工收入在健康范围内。! i8 ^# ?, E# n! i/ Y J5 V
+ g, t( ?" h- U9 C: G- l& Y同时，NVT和NVM比分别增加了50％和26％，这表明市值超过了交易和用户活动。
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+ D* @3 H- _8 v9 i# Z, B相反，股票与流量的比率下降了50％，表明对长期稀缺定价的信心降低。这些相互矛盾的指标表明，尽管基本面并不弱，但市场仍然处于估值灰色区域。 x$ b6 o4 w9 h: G$ q4 O3 C; @
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此外，Binance清算热图显示，密集包装的流动性集群接近94,000美元和98,000美元。这些水平代表了高杠杆定位的区域，价格波动通常会加剧。 1 ], Q) j6 O; v) }' a" ?- ~% q6 `( A
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如果BTC超过$ 98,000，它可能会触发一系列级联的级别清算，以增强动力。但是，低于$ 94K的下跌可能会清算长期头寸并提高价格。
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" v6 X# F( C/ _+ m6 O* q9 c结果，交易者应密切关注这些水平，因为他们可能决定BTC的下一个定向行动。
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BTC可以再次超过$ 98K还是再次失速？
" g, Y) b5 ?+ k$ o- T. @) t" q* [比特币随着网络活动的上升和新鲜的鲸鱼流入而闪烁的恢复迹象。 , m1 r* n* {. ?. i9 s
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但是，长期的卖出压力，负价分支的差异和估值张力表明，突破超过$ 98K的途径仍然不确定。 % }& J0 Z2 c* ]- J
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