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[虚拟币交流]
比特币维持在 10.5 万美元以上:长期投资者会推动 BTC 的下一轮反弹吗?(转)
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长期持有者依然坚定持有,比特币仍处于积累阶段。
# D! j6 o9 T8 @* I3 C e" O现货市场采购活动增强了现有的看涨情绪。
; y! k, G- H G H& |在过去的24小时内,比特币[BTC]价格上涨 1.12%,截至发稿时交易价格超过 105,000 美元。
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[+ D; D, U+ U& d尽管市场普遍动荡,但比特币价格依然保持坚挺,这主要得益于长期持有者的积极参与。AMBCrypto 分析了这一趋势是否可持续。
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: |) j+ d1 N0 l- x长期持有者没有抛售迹象
2 y: Z0 D: M& k0 }% {0 U2 z3 I% I7 g比特币的 RHODL 比率(将长期持有者(6 个月至 2 年)与短期持有者(1 天至 3 个月)进行比较)显示后者仍在持有。' s4 b# f. F: f' f! F' l
% x4 f1 b* K3 B) `0 \ H) q0 `7 n8 f$ ?值得注意的是,RHODL 比率目前低于 2,低于 2024 年的高点,表明长期抛售压力仍然很小。
4 N8 W4 z; Z8 D" |6 s
- Z2 K* P* p' W* N- M截至发稿时,重要市场指标普尔倍数 (Puell Multiple) 显示读数低于 1.40。/ L* @' D H6 k/ z" I! t2 M
7 `3 H2 M6 d# Y2 p2 m
这一指标很重要,因为它表明机构和现货市场投资者正在利用积累阶段来购买资产。
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9 d- v. k0 |) w+ W/ i/ l从历史上看,当普尔倍数保持在 1.40 水平以下时,它与积累期一致 - 表明比特币具有更大的上涨潜力。
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; S7 I8 e5 D3 y: zAMBCrypto 进一步评估市场参与者是否正在积累或分配资产。
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现货和传统投资者购买比特币的人数下降
& c3 h4 C2 _6 D1 T现货市场活动和传统投资者都增加了购买活动。# ~5 S/ J2 Z+ x b* T! K9 N: i6 R
* Y+ c" B) p m3 g/ y
过去24小时内,现货市场投资者购买比特币的金额为6055万美元。然而,这是过去五天以来的最低单日购买量。
+ `4 W/ y' B0 ^0 y
# }$ T! B! u0 y v5 x0 R4 r与此同时,传统投资者支出 3.017 亿美元,创下五天购买量最高的记录之一。
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此项活动证实,投资者正试图利用当前 105,000 美元的价格水平,根据 Puell Multiple,这仍被视为折扣。
" ~6 N6 ~4 R2 L, Q$ C7 f9 g% S* E- @
问题依然存在:所有细分市场都会遵循积累趋势吗?AMBCrypto 进行了更深入的挖掘,发现了更多见解。
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$ L5 S% `! I; a) H7 P加密基金进入市场:供应紧缩?4 Q& m7 R5 {8 Q& {' m6 S. Z% R
截至发稿时,基金市场溢价显示加密投资基金也在购买比特币。2 ]* s$ z2 |6 ]1 X( G1 y
' _9 f" ^- ], S: y3 u7 }) t当基金市场溢价进入图表上的正值区域时(目前为 0.1),就会发生买入。/ @' F' @ ?0 b$ G, c9 t7 w
2 ~6 z, C: `- g
该指标的持续上升表明,比特币可能会保持其上涨趋势,尤其是与其他增持指标一起来看时。这也增加了供应紧缩的可能性。2 H+ @0 ~6 R8 ~) R1 M: A- t
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当需求超过供应时,就会出现供应紧缩,从而推高资产价格。
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