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| 
 
当前离线
 
经验:  天策币:  活跃币:  策小分:  总在线: 243 小时 本月在线: 10 小时 
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| 比特币、以太坊等虚拟货币价格突然下跌,成交额更是几乎全线重挫。截至9月7日7:30,过去24小时内,比特币向下逼近11万美元/枚,成交额跌近72%,XRP成交量跌近70%,以太坊、SOL跌超60%。Coinglass数据显示,过去24小时加密货币市场共有6.7万人被爆仓,爆仓总金额为1.18亿美元。- H  V& Q% K+ K% p2 W4 T: q 8月非农意外爆冷' z' F* S* X0 Q( O
 消息面上,9月5日,美国最新非农报告大幅不及预期。8月非农就业人口增加2.2万人,远低于市场预期的7.5万人。8月失业率为4.3%,为2021年底以来最高水平。, D  ~3 z% E6 b, ]) s; \" G& Y
 在一连串糟糕的就业数据发布后,芝商所美联储观察工具显示,交易员预计美联储9月降息的概率为100%。  z) F3 t& _4 p& J$ l% D
 Comerica财富管理公司首席投资官Eric Teal分析称,随着关税政策的不确定性挥之不去、移民变化的生效以及AI应用的增长,美国劳动力市场正日趋疲软,降息的理据也越充分。为了避免经济进一步恶化,今年下半年经济增长的动力应会来自更宽松的货币政策和更具刺激性的财政政策。4 Z  U4 p& P% t# b1 D+ Y0 }5 N
 黄金价格再创新高4 L3 N% O: E; W$ X# e3 x2 X: v
 与此同时,贵金属价格集体上扬,现货黄金盘中一度突破3600美元/盎司关口。作为表现最为强劲的大宗商品之一,现货黄金与纽约黄金期货年内累计涨幅均达到约35%左右。' Y; E; b# p2 E! |3 [% g
 上善资本集团首席经济学家夏春认为,近期金价屡创新高是多重风险累积的结果。除了降息预期和经济走弱,美国劳动力市场可能因数据修订而出现大幅“缩水”,进一步加剧衰退担忧;特朗普频频干预美联储,也让市场对美元和资本市场稳定性的信心动摇。黄金因而成为全球央行和投资者共同追逐的避险资产。' I6 V! t( w) x, O! c+ M
 金价能否继续上冲?: d# _) t- h! N+ [
 夏春认为,全球央行储备中的黄金占比时隔30年再次超越美国国债。一旦这一比例继续提升,达到历史高点的一半,黄金价格就会突破4500美元/盎司。
 ! i9 P' t/ L0 t高盛等机构提出,如果美联储公信力受损,而投资者将一小部分美债持仓转换为黄金,金价有可能突破5000美元/盎司。9 C+ l: d/ F0 P  a
 不过,多位专家均提醒,投资者切勿将黄金视为短期暴利工具。华闻期货高级分析师傅文浩建议,黄金更适合作为资产组合中的“压舱石”,发挥抗通胀和风险对冲的作用。在金价的全球定价权受海外影响较大的情况下,国内投资者更应保持理性,不宜过度集中配置。3 E/ L5 ^9 n9 u* ~4 k3 J& p1 F# }% H
 【来源:21世纪经济报道、杭州交通918】& r6 ^5 R1 c3 \9 y
 
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经验:  天策币:  活跃币:  策小分:  总在线: 10288 小时 本月在线: 30 小时 
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经验:  天策币:  活跃币:  策小分:  总在线: 48 小时 本月在线: 13 小时 
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经验:  天策币:  活跃币:  策小分:  总在线: 2933 小时 本月在线: 36 小时 
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经验:  天策币:  活跃币:  策小分:  总在线: 11 小时 本月在线: 0 分钟 
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经验:  天策币:  活跃币:  策小分:  总在线: 289 小时 本月在线: 5 小时 
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经验:  天策币:  活跃币:  策小分:  总在线: 11 小时 本月在线: 0 分钟 
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经验:  天策币:  活跃币:  策小分:  总在线: 168 小时 本月在线: 0 分钟 
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经验:  天策币:  活跃币:  策小分:  总在线: 30 小时 本月在线: 0 分钟 
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经验:  天策币:  活跃币:  策小分:  总在线: 275 小时 本月在线: 0 分钟 
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经验:  天策币:  活跃币:  策小分:  总在线: 2 小时 本月在线: 0 分钟 
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