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[lastpost] => 2767465 等了快三年，FTX 又要发钱了！这次 16 亿美元要分给谁？ 1758940819 天策-思思
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币暴涨只等现货ETF通过？彭博：三大利好正在发酵（转载）
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比特币ETF何时能够获得批准的时程备受市场关注，根据彭博社的统计，美国证券交易/ u0 o4 i! Z; d8 Y) n* F }
委员会(SEC)需要在9月1日之前针对Bitwise比特币ETP信托基金做出决定，但是SEC同样可以先选择延迟，而来自
9 M3 B8 k7 z5 Y7 w0 Y4 n' aBlackRock、VanEck、WisdomTree和Invesco的申请决定也在一天之后展开。
( w0 g6 M8 b9 e通常来说，当比特币现货ETF在《联邦公报》上发布后便会进入公开评论期，SEC通常会在45天内作出初步决定，2 v8 T) ^6 _7 y# o" G+ K# x% n
批准或拒绝该申请，届时若未做出裁决则再延45天，第二次仍未有结果则再延90天，最久必须在公开评论期开始" b4 g, f0 S, b2 p
后240天做出裁决。
8 E; l6 q3 o( q$ w) s分析师：预料之内会被推迟7 k: B+ D9 m B( w% d
彭博ETF分析师James Seyffart，曾经预测灰度GBTC转现货ETF的判决最早可能在8月15日出炉，如今这个预测也7 S! j3 ]- V; E$ C+ A& S& l
变为「理论上的日期」，目前并没有传出任何更新，他表示「这些决定都会被延迟是预料之内」，而据灰度官方* m+ V: a) c8 `4 x
在7月底的发文，他们则是预测法院可能在今年秋季作出判决。专注于数字资产的机构平台FRNT Financial的执行" V) a9 ?& }% i! A8 T
长Stephane Ouellette则在彭博社采访时表示：ETF申请的基本情况是，管理机构将继续使用多年来的所有权力2 K+ h) B& q* b
来推迟决定，即使这些产品最终获得批准，在第一次获得批准的情况下，看到它们获得批准还是会非常令人惊4 c: t' ~( k) w# e; X# R/ I* Y M- I
讶。
& _% z. {3 b6 C! `2 D# `7 {: q5 V事实上，女股神Cathie Wood早在8月上旬就发表看法，认为SEC通过现货ETF是迟早的事，且为了帮助平衡竞争
' r1 C7 U% ?, W3 H环境，届时可能会一次同时批准多家公司的申请;而最关键的时间点，她预期会是落在灰度赢得与SEC的诉讼，成$ C y6 ]3 S0 R- k; O- q
功将GBTC向比特币现货ETF转型之后。
, `" b( J A, W/ I$ N& c三大利好消息酝酿
6 \" F% a, _; W' z市场普遍认为SEC可能对比特币ETF的立场有所软化的潜在积极信号主要有三个： J; V1 f3 ^$ a2 ^9 j/ x7 r% l
GBTC负溢价率缩窄& U6 W' i2 D% v7 G* O
最受市场瞩目的GBTC转比特币现货ETF的预测其实可以从GBTC的负溢价率来看，GBTC自从2021年2月以后就持
5 H$ Z l* I9 c) T( |8 a续呈现「负溢价」，并在去年底比特币大跌的时候一度逼近-50%。不过随着市场回温以及GBTC转型成现货ETF可+ b ~* U1 i* U. o6 v
能性的上升，负溢价正持续减少中。据Ychart数据，截至上周五(18日)GBTC的负溢价已来到约-25%。' H* ] Z6 l6 o! d
杠杆型比特币期货ETF已上线
; l$ a2 Z6 L" S值得一提的是，ETF发行商Volatility Shares早在6月27日上线杠杆型比特币ETF，其中「2倍杠杆」意味着用户只
* C6 W* m7 E0 x: \要投入比特币价值的一半就可以放大成一枚的比特币，自亮相以来，以吸引超过2000万美元的资金投入。* k: ^. U M; ?( C; f4 s
多档以太坊期货ETF提交申请" }: u6 P, n8 _, Y: N4 j3 T
不只是比特币的相关金融产品展开新的进度，Volatility Shares也在7月28日向SEC提交以太坊期货ETF申请，随后
# A. s3 n+ x2 V; A7 M+ ?多家美国基金管理公司也纷纷提出以太坊期货ETF申请，迄今有高达16档以太坊期货ETF正等待SEC的审查，虽然
9 ^# P2 ^. G7 s$ x( Q" H6 i知情人士强调，以太坊期货ETF是否能推出，尚未得到保证，但也被认为是一大利好消息。- ?7 j5 h! i, \+ i; I6 b
: x% m& s: e2 ] |
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