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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，
2 d. J& e" J' J0 g% ]/ s! ] V2 h& z
比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？2 S. F$ w7 W* a. g
我们认为至少有以下几个原因：
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1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在
5 q# i& R# W% c$ m" s7 k1 J' Q/ C/ _+ p& j. G: k9 a6 T+ b8 |
没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过! c8 c; y" U# v1 f: X9 J: ~
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中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全
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去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长
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5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH
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Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和# _$ }/ `# V) L- c" V2 z
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ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿
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美金）。- Y" k. b2 u, D. i3 c$ ]
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) L9 v/ [+ T: B1 t% X; _2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态: [1 M$ e# T: i* v$ v
3 Y) J1 E8 H* @比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去& ^: V R- [! b
) g7 _& s+ B9 \9 r2 k8 Y构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。
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: I8 H: l3 z `# y3 c5 E3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户& d& [+ R4 R0 i5 E( Q8 x$ X0 R
% F2 ~2 N5 F2 K. e( p" N3 O尤其大资金的信任和青睐。
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* o$ `4 }# V7 u" E+ ~5 y- s4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL* s( E9 y/ E" u1 h
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约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如
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3 l1 W: K a0 z O7 P' E% Z6 g果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美
! B4 |- i) v( j8 T( D f2 E
8 J* l0 \, ], P! R金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
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