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[lastpost] => 2770599 比特币和以太坊引发市场全面反弹，山寨币价格上涨（转） 1759343120 jackcool1011
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[虚拟币交流]
Fed暗示2024降息三次！比特币冲破4.3万美元（14日转）
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4 N* l) A( R/ X) K7 Z美国联准会(Fed)在9、11月连续两次暂停升息后，于今(14)日凌晨3点释出的FOMC声明
7 J1 e6 q' N5 w1 P中，三度维持联邦基准利率在5.25%~5.50%区间不变，一如市场此前预期。$ a/ Y7 ]. j. Z+ d0 N8 [( a
且令投资者兴奋的事，主席鲍威尔(Powell)透露降息也已进入Fed视野。+ g$ G0 a6 d5 Y9 S$ @+ U
官员预计：2024将降息3次
% S: T( E* ~5 q1 W2 T p虽然Fed在FOMC声明中仍强调实现2%的通货膨胀率是其最终目标，但最新的经济数据表明，经济增长较第三季4 X2 x2 D" H& A9 ^; U& ~% n
度有所放缓，就业依然保持强劲、失业率也维持在较低水平。因此，联准会官员在决定维持利率不变的同时，也* b4 a; H4 {4 U/ L! m
已经开始讨论降息的时机。
3 t3 Y3 r7 m( A) G$ r8 W6 g+ s主席鲍威尔表示：这将是我们展望未来的一个主题，Fed官员预计明年将三次降息25个基点，这将推动市场大幅/ ?* q! I6 T+ A& P+ o3 z
走高。3 Q% l" [& {; z7 W/ U
且根据利率点阵图，联准会官员还预计将在2025年再降息四次，他们相信，将不再需要通过提高利率的方式来缓+ |( E2 |. j( C4 `1 u& t Q
解CPI压力，因为到今年年底，通膨率将放缓至2.8%，2024年底则将降至2.4%。
1 r- t$ A2 y3 S: @% N& u7 J比特币冲破4.3万
5 E5 @5 M/ U6 y" t' ?& Q受到Fed宣布不加息、并透露明年考虑降息的激励下，比特币在今(14)晨六点最高来到43,475美元。
" i0 u! h8 U0 `* X6 [( m9 q截稿前略有回落，报42,773美元/近24小时涨幅为3.2%。
_* i& q' A7 t; e9 v- @9 T' a以太坊同样呈现上涨趋势，稍早最高攀上2284美元，截稿前报2,255美元/近24小时涨幅为2.3%。 r$ F" @+ p* J i* `$ m
美股四大指数齐扬: {( ~# B6 _) \! b0 Y
回到美股方面，表现也相当亮眼，四大指数齐涨、道指更是创下历史新高：# ^6 }3 W/ o$ m- @
道琼工业指数：上涨512.3点(1.4%)，收37090.24点- @4 x$ G+ E4 }% B) Z. J$ M
纳斯达克指数：上涨200.57点(1.38%)，收14733.96点4 |- p* y, g$ d# B/ U
标普500指数：上涨63.39点(1.37%)，收4707.09点) G, J7 S7 z) |' W% Z
费城半导体指数：上涨60.77点(1.55%)，收3990.95点
( y5 M$ O, t+ w5 s& [1 L美国10年债殖利率跌破4%2 D; ^0 O4 |1 T5 t2 S& y; ]7 A
另外美国10年期公债殖利率也呈现较剧烈的下跌，撰稿时跌破4%。$ R1 w- f5 h$ H, l9 H( t' L
被誉为「新债券天王」的双线资本(Double Line)创办人Jeffrey Gundlach就预测，美国10年期公债殖利率明年将
3 T( f, i! W. @4 P. j跌到更接近3%水平。, g' c5 s6 }. v" _3 K, v+ x
6 b. N7 p6 Q; d3 N
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