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[lastpost] => 2771221 比特币ETF引发稀缺性炒作，重现黄金在上世纪70年代的上涨（转） 1759587271 小梦
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币现货ETF获批后，比特币价格有望一路飙升?（转）
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美国证券监管机构终于如市场所预期的那样批准了比特币现货ETF，这些ETF美东时间上周四0 g8 y# P+ \5 Y! r' T
* a: x: U0 U# u/ k A2 d正式开始交易。这一批准可能将刺激比特币价格继续暴涨，影响全球众多资产管理公司的资产配置
' \* [- p! i j7 A/ }
; B5 t: \: s! t8 f比例，以及刺激加密货币交易所Coinbase(COIN.US)和类似MicroStrategy(MSTR.US)等加密货币公
* @4 D; _, @! H2 ?1 U3 T ]' c& X) A# H6 ?) H( H6 j; D/ E* G' x
司的股票价值升值，同时为一些币圈较小规模的初创公司创造出巨额的潜在价值。7 w$ {$ L; y" C3 g( b3 \
在2024年，6.9万美元这一比特币价格最高历史纪录很可能将被打破。一些业内高管坚称新一轮比; T! T7 I) m8 M2 o
% E+ w3 ]6 Q. f. l, G特币牛市已经开始，主要基于两件重磅事件:分别是比特币“减半”事件，以及比特币交易所交易基金
9 Y3 I6 \1 E4 V& D. L: c1 a+ c
6 R1 T, m4 f7 I" s+ F" \+ A(比特币现货ETF)在美国首次获得批准。* x8 e# j- |% }2 s& B# `
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来自CoinShares的研究主管James Butterfill表示，在美国ZF批准比特币ETF的推动之下，加密货
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! P, d3 v9 G* ^9 m4 D6 l币资产的前景将在2024年发生“重大变化”。“这一期待已久的发展将扩大加密货币资产的投资者基础，/ [* n- Z$ b# y6 F# [
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并将其与传统金融市场更紧密地整合在一起，”Butterfill接受媒体采访时表示。. C( `7 L" c" Q; L$ S ] E3 c& S3 d
/ n7 ^4 l: E! g- g% |* h6 t* s! u$ [“有预测数据显示，从目前资产管理机构管理的资产中增加20%的投资(大约30亿美元)可能会将比特4 ~" P% D$ {& p5 ]: D9 U- v
8 U% m/ {1 v8 h+ ^9 m# H3 R
币的价格推高至8万美元。”与此同时，Butterfill补充称，全球央行降息的预期也可能在推动比特币价
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/ Y, O7 e9 q W( t; q格走高方面“发挥决定性的作用”。
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在2023年11月，渣打银行(Standard Chartered)发布报告表示，10万美元大关将受到众多ETF获批的大; i/ k" f/ k5 H1 ?) y! }: Q5 g9 `
2 n% @, J0 u3 E5 k- t* c4 |2 E3 ]
力推动。该行还表示，减半大事件也将支持比特币价格趋势。早在4月份，渣打银行就发布报告预测称，- s: o- t& ]& S- e+ s7 m
4 { Q2 a& K! _) p% j" O* o6 E
2024年年底比特币有望冲击10万美元。
1 S8 n6 C/ l: S
# g( T' \8 |0 r. |/ r6 V自称为加密金融服务公司的Matrixport在11月发布了一份重磅报告，预计比特币到2024年4月将达到9 l4 U6 a0 e) G4 w" x
# V; c) P9 G$ e; e63140美元，到2024年年底将达到12.5万美元。1 p- E4 j5 S' P6 } w W) v
4 Z; g t3 R# R# @; s4 t“根据我们的通胀模型，预计宏观环境放松仍将是加密货币的强劲推动力。预计通货膨胀率将再次下
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' K9 ^0 U! s* F' s3 p3 i降，这可能促使美联储开始降息周期。”“再加上地缘ZZ‘逆流’，因此这种健康的货币支持政策应该1 s% L0 m6 |6 ]! _
2 x$ j# l l+ h4 I* Q, M会在2024年将比特币推向新高。”Matrixport在报告中表示。
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