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NBA 波特兰开拓者 vs 达拉斯小牛 2011年04月29日10:30
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[font=Arial]季后赛开打之前，开拓者就被认为是最具实力的黑马选手，他们在系列赛的表现中也确实如此。双方前四场战成2-2平，各自都是在主场取胜对手。第5场是最为关键的一战，小牛以93-82再次主场退敌成功，这样小牛就掌握了极大主动权，至少小牛还可以坚持到第7场，而开拓者则已无路可退。
) Z9 n$ S( h$ u. C, s 贾森·基德成为小牛在季后赛中的最大亮点。现年38岁高龄的基德在前两个主场场均贡献21分，是主场取得2-0优势的首功之臣;但在两个客场却急跌至8.5分，依靠基德刷分，这并不是小牛的赢球模式。在第5场，那个熟悉的基德终于回来了，全场只投中1球，却送出14次助攻。在他的精准传球下，小牛火力全开，钱德勒砍下14分，几乎等于前4场的总和。
6 J- x7 o6 I6 O, H! o 比赛展望/ v3 _4 G/ D- L, W% k' v: z
小牛已手握赛点，而开拓者本场必须拿下。前两个主场都击败小牛，从一定程度上给了开拓者球员以信心，但马修斯的低迷成了开拓者的大难题。本赛季在常规赛有突出表现的马修斯已经顶替罗伊担任开拓者的先发得分后卫，但在过去5场的表现却惨不忍睹，关键时刻仍是依靠没有半月板的罗伊艰难制胜。
& F/ h( X& g! H5 L% `* ] 盘口方面开出主让3.5分，是今日唯一的主队拥有优势的对决。开拓者前两个主场都击败小牛，给盘口强烈的支持。不可忽视的是，在双方第4战中，小牛在客场曾一度取得23分的优势，拥有联盟最佳客场战绩的小牛并不惧开拓者的魔鬼主场。预设总分开出184.5分的初盘，与双方交手平均值差别不大。* U8 R: j! R1 f7 P& }3 s
分析推荐
* u% E2 S6 ^6 c2 }, M f 小牛有望提前晋级，开拓者仍将负隅顽抗，但胜利天平明显已倾向小牛。推荐小牛客场胜出;让分推荐小牛，分差推荐客胜1-10/防主胜1-5分。[/font] |
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