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glassnode数据：持有100枚以下比特币的地址，在五月增持80724比特币，而比特币在10000以上的地址，五月总增持46269枚，机构也好，大户也罢，都在增持。而一年以上每卖过币的地址，五月增持总数超过25万枚。他们为什么增持，原因不言而喻。机构和大户，才是比特币不断上涨的原动力，散户只会跑的快。持有一万以上比特币的最低调，你几乎看不到他说话；持有1000枚比特币的最有危机感，也最勤奋，他们处于上升期；拥有100以上比特币的最好学，他们知道自己还差了很多，不放过任何一个学习机会；一个比特币都没有的最喜欢骂人，因为他们手里全是跌成了翔的山寨币。 / y7 C! Q3 J( |9 Q
闪电哥之前说过，大饼想要起飞，必须同时满足两个条件：一是跟美股行情完全脱钩，二是随着一波利好，真正起飞，是不会给上车的机会的。虽然起飞也会是波浪形上涨，但请记住这个指标-每次突破压力位之后，或有回调，但不会跌破之前突破过的压力位。上涨过程中，你只要下车就上不去了，唯一可能会给你上车的机会，是暴涨过后的一个深度暴跌，这个暴跌一定是极凶的，凶到让你不敢买进。现在已经有65％的比特币一年没有卖过了，而之前数据为63.8％。 6 z7 B+ d! ]) E( `
现在大饼几乎已经跟美股行情脱钩，其实比特币问世的初衷是要打破美元的垄断地位，现在因为赚钱效应，变成了一个理财产品，成为了可以进行增值的投资资产。既然已经脱钩美股，已经符合第一个起飞条件。
( T p! {1 \: r' w4 o- A现在，就等利好了，ZG十二亿救市计划，已经开始启动，市场有钱了，生意就好做了，赚了钱后，就会有部分流入到加密货币，房市和股市之中，这符合经济增长规律。
- s5 n# s* R. z+ N5 q# S8 n! s美联储6.16号的会议后，如果加息基点符合预期，也算是利空中的利好。亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克公开表示，在6-7月份的预期每个月加息50基点过后，美联储可能会暂停加息，重新评估加息对经济和通胀的影响。这是美联储官员首次提到暂停加息。
) W- V0 i% x2 p, ]4 t, T结论来了，比特币已经符合上涨条件，等一波爆炸性的新闻出现，就会直接起飞。
' o% H1 I9 r. u9 f6 y策略：6.16之前，依然是小仓不断做短线，起码半仓要持币躺平，不要轻易下车。30000以下任何位置都可以建仓，30000以上阶梯平仓，28000是个强支撑，很难跌破。给个小方法，通过区块浏览器，监控比特币持币前100的地址，巨鲸不卖，你就不卖，他们卖币，我们就跟着卖。 ) r, y: v5 E/ J% _! i5 S
来源：金色财经 |
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